Como vs Fiorentina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
14/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 25
  • Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.861.53
Ball possession
67%33%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
33
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
42
Passes
89% (507/568)76% (214/280)
Yellow cards
42
Red cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.861.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.101.93
Total shots
167
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
102
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
124
Shots outside the box
43
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
3111
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free kicks
1214
Passes
89% (507/568)76% (214/280)
Long passes
41% (7/17)20% (11/55)
Passes in final third
81% (135/167)58% (41/71)
Crosses
29% (7/24)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.800.10
Throw ins
1211
Fouls
1412
Tackles
65% (13/20)83% (5/6)
Duels won
5344
Clearances
1317
Interceptions
410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
1.930.10
Goals prevented
-0.070.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', 0 - 1, Fagioli N. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Kuhn N. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 46', Valle A. , Moreno A. ,
  • 49', Kempf M. O. 🟨,
  • 54', 0 - 2, Kean M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 57', Perrone M. , Addai J. ,
  • 57', Douvikas A. , Morata A. ,
  • 70', Vanoli P. 🟥,
  • 72', Vojvoda M. , Caqueret M. ,
  • 77', 1 - 2, Parisi F. (Own goal),
  • 82', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
  • 84', Fagioli N. , Ndour C. ,
  • 84', Kean M. , Piccoli R. ,
  • 88', Morata A. 🟨,
  • 88', Mandragora R. 🟨,
  • 89', Morata A. 🟨,
  • 90', Ranieri L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Como
56.3%
Draw
24.7%
Fiorentina
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.9% 23.9% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 23.2% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Como than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Como - Fiorentina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.7)
    3.88
    (3.98)
    5.04
    (4.68)
    4.7%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Como - Fiorentina?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Fiorentina (2.19) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH 0 - Fiorentina (3.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Fiorentina (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.75 - Como (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Como will win (55 of 62 users predict this - 88.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.83%96.59%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Como will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Como (votes: 23 - 82.1%). Fiorentina (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • Como is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Fiorentina's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Como is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Como: Diao A. (Thigh Injury) Goldaniga E. (Heel Injury)
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Gudmundsson A. (Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury) Rugani D. (Calf Injury)
    • We predict that Como will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Como won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Como won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Como - Fiorentina were as follows:
    27.01.2026 Fiorentina - Como 1:3
    21.09.2025 Fiorentina - Como 1:2
    16.02.2025 Fiorentina - Como 0:2
    24.11.2024 Como - Fiorentina 0:2
    Latest results of Como
    10.02.2026 Napoli - Como 1:2
    01.02.2026 Como - Atalanta 0:0
    27.01.2026 Fiorentina - Como 1:3
    24.01.2026 Como - Torino 6:0
    19.01.2026 Lazio - Como 0:3
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    07.02.2026 Fiorentina - Torino 2:2
    31.01.2026 Napoli - Fiorentina 2:1
    27.01.2026 Fiorentina - Como 1:3
    24.01.2026 Fiorentina - Cagliari 1:2
    18.01.2026 Bologna - Fiorentina 1:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter ✔ 34254580:314979
    2Napoli35217752:331970
    3AC Milan341910548:272167
    4Juventus341810657:292864
    5Como351711759:283162
    6AS Roma341941148:291961
    7Atalanta351413847:321555
    8Lazio3412121037:33448
    9Bologna341461442:41148
    10Udinese351381443:46-347
    11Sassuolo341371441:44-346
    12Parma3410121225:40-1542
    13Torino351181639:58-1941
    14Genoa3510101540:48-840
    15Fiorentina348131338:45-737
    16Cagliari34991636:49-1336
    17Lecce35881924:47-2332
    18Cremonese346101826:51-2528
    19Verona ✔ 343102123:56-3319
    20Pisa ✔ 352122125:63-3818

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Inter is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Verona is Relegated to Serie B
    Pisa is Relegated to Serie B