Result
3:1
14/03/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: De Oliveira M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | FOX Network, FOX One, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV International |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.79 | 2.13 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (254/350) | 80% (371/466) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.79 | 2.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.40 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (254/350) | 80% (371/466) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (19/48) | 63% (35/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (40/68) | 73% (159/217) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 22% (8/36) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.13 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 40 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (18/23) | 94% (15/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 2.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.62 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Latte Lath E. ⚽, Almiron M. (A), Baez E. (A2)
- 41', Baez E. 🟨,
- 43', Iloski M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+2', Gregersen S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 47', 2 - 0, Jacob T. ⚽, Almiron M. (A), Galarza M. (A2)
- 49', Galarza M. 🟨,
- 57', Korzeniowski S. ↓, Alladoh E. ↑,
- 57', Vassilev I. ↓, Anello A. ↑,
- 57', Iloski M. ↓, Bedoya A. ↑,
- 68', 3 - 0, Miranchuk Al. ⚽, Almiron M. (A), Latte Lath E. (A2)
- 69', Latte Lath E. ↓, Picault F. ↑,
- 69', Galarza M. ↓, Alzate S. ↑,
- 77', Ndinga P. ↓, Sery Larsen J. ↑,
- 78', Miranchuk Al. ↓, Lobjanidze S. ↑,
- 81', Jean Jacques D. ↓, Bueno J. ↑,
- 85', Jacob T. 🟨,
- 87', 3 - 1, Anello A. ⚽, Westfield F. (A), Bedoya A. (A2)
- 88', Sanchez C. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
- 88', Almiron M. ↓, Amador P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlanta United
38.1% | Draw
27.6% | Philadelphia Union
34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlanta United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlanta United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Philadelphia Union could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↓
(2.81) |
3.43 ↑
(3.38) |
2.78 ↑
(2.48) |
5.2%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Atlanta (1.80) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH -0.5 - Atlanta (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Atlanta (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 3 - 60%). Philadelphia (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 0.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Philadelphia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Atlanta: Fortune A.
(Foot Injury)
Reilly W.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Philadelphia: Davis III E.
(Thigh Injury)
Sullivan Q.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:28. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 1.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlanta United won against Philadelphia Union?
Atlanta United has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Union won against Atlanta United?
Philadelphia Union has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union were as follows:
17.05.2025
Atlanta United
-
Philadelphia Union
0:1
19.04.2025
Philadelphia Union
-
Atlanta United
3:0
28.09.2024
Philadelphia Union
-
Atlanta United
1:1
14.04.2024
Atlanta United
-
Philadelphia Union
2:2
04.10.2023
Philadelphia Union
-
Atlanta United
3:2
Latest results of Atlanta United
Latest results of Philadelphia Union
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Jose Earthquakes | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 26:7 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26:6 | 20 | 25 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19:8 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Minnesota United | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 20 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | FC Dallas | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 20:15 | 5 | 16 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 15 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 22:19 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Austin FC | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:19 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Portland Timbers | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:21 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 6 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:26 | -18 | 5 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:6 | 15 | 23 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22:19 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | DC United | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 15 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:25 | -3 | 15 |
| 7 | Charlotte | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Toronto FC | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | New York City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:27 | -11 | 12 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16:32 | -16 | 10 |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
