Result
 
                    0:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        06/07/2025 at  07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Jia League - Round 15
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.17 | 2.02 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 53% | 47% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 17 | 14 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 6 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 82% (310/377) | 76% (258/339) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.17 | 2.02 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.78 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 17 | 14 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 6 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 9 | 4 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 5 | 4 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 12 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 13 | 2 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 23 | 23 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 3 | 0 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 20 | 19 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 82% (310/377) | 76% (258/339) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 34% (13/38) | 41% (25/61) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 72% (75/104) | 65% (58/89) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 29% (5/17) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.52 | 2.18 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 17 | 19 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 19 | 20 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 100% (10/10) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 50 | 46 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 32 | 19 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 8 | 4 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.36 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.22 | 0.36 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
 - 24', Sun Xiaobin 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (0 - 2)
 - 54', 0 - 1, Samuel A. ⚽, Kunimoto T. (A), 
 - 55', Zhang Xingbo ↓, Antwi R. ↑, 
 - 56', Xu Dong 🟨, 
 - 63', 0 - 2, Mbenza G. ⚽, Zang Yifeng (A), 
 - 66', Wu Yuchen ↓, Ruan Jun ↑, 
 - 66', Yao-hsing Yu ↓, Liu Xinyu ↑, 
 - 72', Zang Yifeng ↓, Gui Zihan ↑, 
 - 73', Mbenza G. ↓, Zhao Jianbo ↑, 
 - 81', Huang Chuqi ↓, Chang Feiya ↑, 
 - 86', Kunimoto T. ↓, Tian Deao ↑, 
 - 88', Shi Liang ↓, Zheng Junwei ↑, 
 - 90+3', Liu Langzhou ↓, Gao Jiarun ↑, 
 - 90+4', Yao Xilong 🟨, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Foshan Nanshi  11.5% | Draw  20.1% | Liaoning Tieren  68.3% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Foshan Nanshi - Liaoning Tieren Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   7.9 ↑ (6.75) | 
			   4.53 ↓ (4.6) | 
			   1.33 ↓ (1.35) | 
			   9.8% (10.6%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).
 - Foshan Nanshi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
 - Liaoning Tieren is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
 - Liaoning Tieren may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  - In this match, Liaoning Tieren is the undeniable favorite.
 - In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Foshan Nanshi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
 - Including home match between the teams, Foshan Nanshi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Foshan Nanshi won against Liaoning Tieren?
                    
                    
                        
                            Foshan Nanshi has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Liaoning Tieren won against Foshan Nanshi?
                    
                    
                        
                             Liaoning Tieren has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Foshan Nanshi - Liaoning Tieren were as follows:
                                                        
                                26.10.2024 
                                Foshan Nanshi 
                                - 
                                Liaoning Tieren 
                                0:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                15.06.2024 
                                Liaoning Tieren 
                                - 
                                Foshan Nanshi 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Foshan Nanshi                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Liaoning Tieren                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Chinese Jia League Table
2025 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Liaoning Tieren ✔  | 29 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 59:27 | 32 | 65 | 
| 2 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 52:34 | 18 | 57 | 
| 3 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 50:32 | 18 | 57 | 
| 4 | Yanbian Longding | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 37:24 | 13 | 52 | 
| 5 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 37:29 | 8 | 46 | 
| 6 | Dingnan Ganlian | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 44 | 
| 7 | Nantong Zhiyun | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 43:28 | 15 | 43 | 
| 8 | Dalian K'un City | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 41 | 
| 9 | Shaanxi Union | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 43:46 | -3 | 36 | 
| 10 | Nanjing City | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 39:42 | -3 | 36 | 
| 11 | Suzhou Dongwu | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 24:28 | -4 | 35 | 
| 12 | Shanghai Jiading Huilong | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 26:42 | -16 | 30 | 
| 13 | Foshan Nanshi | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 27:44 | -17 | 29 | 
| 14 | Guangxi Pingguo | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 23:42 | -19 | 25 | 
| 15 | Shenzhen Juniors | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 36:59 | -23 | 25 | 
| 16 | Qingdao Red Lions ✔  | 29 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 19:48 | -29 | 13 | 
      Promotion ~ Super League
      Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Liaoning Tieren is Qualified for Super League
Qingdao Red Lions is Relegated to League Two