Guingamp vs Sochaux – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Coupe De France Guingamp - Sochaux
Result
3:2 penalties
14/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Coupe de France - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Gaillouste P. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.300.63
Ball Possession
76%24%
Goal Attempts
2910
Shots on Goal
106
Shots off Goal
61
Blocked Shots
133
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
103
Shots inside the Box
156
Shots outside the Box
144
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
48
Free Kicks
119
Offsides
20
Fouls
911
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
10
Throw-ins
287
Touches in the Opposition Box
4512
Passes
89% (591/667)72% (157/219)
Passes in the final third
81% (208/256)63% (46/73)
Crosses
22% (10/46)0% (0/9)
Tackles
60% (12/20)72% (18/25)
Clearances Total
646
Interceptions
613

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Fontaine T. ,
  • 29', Patouillet M. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Riou M. ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 2, Gnanduillet A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', 2 - 2, Guendouz S. , Picard H. (A),
  • 64', Macalou I. , Loubao S. ,
  • 64', Perreira de Sa R. , Joseph V. ,
  • 64', Luvambo T. , Siwe J. ,
  • 64', Ourega D. , Maronnier L. ,
  • 71', Picard H. , Mendes J. A. ,
  • 71', Guendouz S. , Sidibe K. ,
  • 72', Gnanduillet A. , Mukanya M. ,
  • 75', Silva A. , N'Gatta E. ,
  • 75', Lecolier M. , Mouyema N. K. ,
  • 85', Sissoko A. 🟥,
  • 87', Labeau B. , Nair S. ,
  • 90+5', Sidibe K. 🟨,
  • Penalties (9 - 8)
  • 1, Michel D. (Pen),
  • 1, Louiserre D. (Pen),
  • 2, Fontaine T. (Pen),
  • 2, Siwe J. (Pen),
  • 3, Dacosta J. (Pen),
  • 3, Hemia A. (Pen),
  • 4, Joseph V. (Pen),
  • 4, Sidibe K. (Pen),
  • 5, Mayela V. (Pen),
  • 5, Riou M. (Pen),
  • 6, Mukanya M. (Pen),
  • 6, Lemonnier P. (Pen),
  • 7, Bayanginisa H. (Pen),
  • 7, Maronnier L. (Pen),
  • 8, Loubao S. (Pen),
  • 8, Nair S. (Pen),
  • 9, Mouyema N. K. (Pen),
  • 9, Mendes J. A. (Pen),
  • 10, Patouillet M. (Pen),
  • 10, Niasse B. (Pen),
  • 11, Fontaine T. (Pen),
  • 11, Louiserre D. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Guingamp
70.8%
Draw
18.9%
Sochaux
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.9% 24.6% 17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2% 24.5% 17.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guingamp's performance.
  • Sochaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sochaux might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guingamp that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sochaux could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Guingamp - Sochaux Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.6)
    4.96
    (3.76)
    9.23
    (5.28)
    6.3%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Guingamp won 2.
    • Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
    • Sochaux could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Sochaux have a series of home games.
    • In this match Guingamp is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Guingamp won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:12 (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Guingamp won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guingamp - Sochaux were as follows:
    05.08.2023 Sochaux - Guingamp 1:4
    13.05.2023 Sochaux - Guingamp 0:1
    30.08.2022 Guingamp - Sochaux 1:2
    Latest results of Guingamp
    10.01.2025 Annecy - Guingamp 1:4
    04.01.2025 Guingamp - Dunkerque 1:1
    22.12.2024 Guingamp - Caen 2:1
    13.12.2024 Bastia - Guingamp 3:1
    06.12.2024 Martigues - Guingamp 0:1
    Latest results of Sochaux
    10.01.2025 Sochaux - Boulogne 1:1
    22.12.2024 Sochaux - Clermont 1:0
    13.12.2024 Dijon - Sochaux 0:0
    06.12.2024 Sochaux - Châteauroux 2:2
    22.11.2024 Sochaux - Villefranche 2:1