Result
02/05/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Guingamp
40.9% | Draw
27.8% | Bastia
31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Guingamp - Bastia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↑
(2.18) |
3.38
(3.38) |
2.95 ↓
(3.16) |
7.6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Guingamp - Bastia?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bastia will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 1.
- Guingamp has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Bastia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Bastia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Guingamp won against Bastia?
Guingamp has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Guingamp?
Bastia has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guingamp - Bastia were as follows:
30.08.2025
Bastia
-
Guingamp
1:3
02.05.2025
Guingamp
-
Bastia
2:2
13.12.2024
Bastia
-
Guingamp
3:1
20.04.2024
Guingamp
-
Bastia
0:1
28.10.2023
Bastia
-
Guingamp
0:0
Latest results of Guingamp
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 56:32 | 24 | 64 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 47:30 | 17 | 58 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 53:36 | 17 | 57 |
| 4 | Red Star | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 54 |
| 5 | Reims | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 52 |
| 6 | Rodez | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 41:37 | 4 | 52 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 39:28 | 11 | 50 |
| 8 | Annecy | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 46:36 | 10 | 49 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:54 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 51:41 | 10 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 42:47 | -5 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 32:45 | -13 | 36 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Clermont | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Nancy | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
| 16 | Laval | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 28:43 | -15 | 29 |
| 17 | Bastia | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22:37 | -15 | 25 |
| 18 | Amiens | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 36:57 | -21 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
