SønderjyskE vs Midtjylland – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
23/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Superliga - Championship Group - Round 28
  • Referee: Kristoffersen M. (Den)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
ukraineUkraineSport 1
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldSport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.871.37
Ball possession
40%60%
Total shots
816
Shots on target
44
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
38
Passes
70% (200/286)80% (337/422)
Yellow cards
14
Expected goals (xG)
0.871.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.381.25
Total shots
816
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
28
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
79
Shots outside the box
17
Hit the woodwork
02
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
1744
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free kicks
1614
Passes
70% (200/286)80% (337/422)
Long passes
50% (25/50)50% (34/68)
Passes in final third
60% (40/67)60% (84/139)
Crosses
0% (0/12)16% (4/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.370.75
Throw ins
1828
Fouls
1416
Tackles
58% (14/24)82% (9/11)
Duels won
6453
Clearances
5618
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
1.251.38
Goals prevented
0.250.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Chilufya E. ,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Hoppe M. , Sommer T. (A),
  • 45+1', Hoppe M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Paulinho , Bak V. ,
  • 48', Lee Han-Beom 🟨,
  • 49', 1 - 2, Gretarsson D. L. (Own goal),
  • 59', Chilufya E. , Billing P. ,
  • 67', Hoppe M. , Qamili L. ,
  • 68', Lyng A. , Klysner T. ,
  • 72', Duru G. , Wilkins D. ,
  • 72', Oggesen A. , Pedersen A. ,
  • 77', Osorio D. , Mbabu K. ,
  • 78', Billing P. 🟨,
  • 85', Norgaard T. 🟨,
  • 87', Emini S. , Hjort- Pedersen E. ,
  • 89', Simsir A. , Gogorza M. ,
  • 90+3', Mbabu K. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Gogorza M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


SønderjyskE
17.3%
Draw
20.2%
Midtjylland
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.6% 23.5% 52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23% 22.9% 54.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SønderjyskE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SønderjyskE's form might have worsened.
  • Midtjylland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Midtjylland's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SønderjyskE than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SønderjyskE, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Midtjylland, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • SønderjyskE - Midtjylland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.51
    (3.94)
    4.65
    (3.95)
    1.51
    (1.76)
    5.8%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for SønderjyskE - Midtjylland?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. SønderjyskE will win (votes: 3 - 10.7%). Midtjylland will win (votes: 22 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Midtjylland: 63.4%93.8%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Midtjylland (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SønderjyskE won 2.
    • SønderjyskE is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Midtjylland has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Midtjylland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Midtjylland is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in SønderjyskE: Bundgaard M. (Head Injury) Cherif M. (Yellow Cards) Sigurgeirsson R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Midtjylland: Billing P. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Diao O. (Red Card) Djabi A. (Health problems) Junior Brumado (Ribs Injury) Uhre M. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SønderjyskE won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 29:41. (average 1.5:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, SønderjyskE won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.5:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SønderjyskE - Midtjylland were as follows:
    04.04.2026 Midtjylland - SønderjyskE 2:2
    09.01.2026 SønderjyskE - Midtjylland 3:6
    23.11.2025 SønderjyskE - Midtjylland 2:1
    28.07.2025 Midtjylland - SønderjyskE 6:2
    20.10.2024 SønderjyskE - Midtjylland 3:2
    Latest results of SønderjyskE
    17.04.2026 Brøndby - SønderjyskE 6:0
    12.04.2026 SønderjyskE - Viborg 0:2
    04.04.2026 Midtjylland - SønderjyskE 2:2
    15.03.2026 SønderjyskE - AGF Aarhus 1:1
    Latest results of Midtjylland
    20.04.2026 Midtjylland - AGF Aarhus 2:1
    12.04.2026 Brøndby - Midtjylland 1:2
    04.04.2026 Midtjylland - SønderjyskE 2:2
    22.03.2026 Viborg - Midtjylland 1:1
    Danish Superliga Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aarhus301710354:302461
    2Midtjylland291610367:303758
    3Nordsjaelland301441247:45246
    4Viborg291341244:41343
    5Brondby301261241:311042
    6Sonderjyske301181142:45-341

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Superliga (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )