Result
1:1
03/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 15
- Referee: Beaton J. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Hearts TV, Kilmarnock TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 2.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (458/567) | 65% (206/319) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 2.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (458/567) | 65% (206/319) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (43/78) | 38% (30/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (106/169) | 58% (67/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (9/38) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.75 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2', Deas R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', 1 - 0, Shankland L. ⚽, Kabore P. (A),
- 62', Thompson D. ↓, Watson D. ↑,
- 66', Kabore P. ↓, Braga C. ↑,
- 66', Forrest A. ↓, Spittal B. ↑,
- 70', Schilte-Brown E. ↓, Tiffoney S. ↑,
- 70', Lowery T. ↓, Anderson B. ↑,
- 70', John-Jules T. ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
- 74', Magnusson T. 🟨,
- 80', Borchgrevink C. ↓, McEntee O. ↑,
- 81', Lyons B. ↓, Polworth L. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 1, Anderson B. ⚽,
- 90+6', Brown J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hearts
70.2% | Draw
19.2% | Kilmarnock
10.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hearts's form might have worsened.Kilmarnock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Hearts - Kilmarnock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↑
(1.22) |
4.88 ↓
(5.58) |
8.8 ↓
(11.25) |
6.2%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hearts - Kilmarnock?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Hearts will win (votes: 21 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hearts: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hearts will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 3.
- Hearts has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kilmarnock is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Hearts is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Hearts: Ageu
(Hamstring Injury)
Baningime B.
(Hamstring Injury)
Nieuwenhof C.
(Calf Injury)
Pollock F.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Kilmarnock: Brandon J.
(Injury)
Daniels D.
(Injury)
Kennedy M.
(Hip Injury)
Magennis K.
(Inactive)
Stryjek M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hearts won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Hearts won against Kilmarnock?
Hearts has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against Hearts?
Kilmarnock has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hearts - Kilmarnock were as follows:
18.10.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Hearts
0:3
18.05.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Hearts
0:1
25.01.2025
Hearts
-
Kilmarnock
3:2
15.12.2024
Kilmarnock
-
Hearts
1:0
30.10.2024
Hearts
-
Kilmarnock
1:2
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 51:24 | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Rangers ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 49:23 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Celtic ✔ | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 49:28 | 21 | 54 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 45:18 | 27 | 50 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 45:32 | 13 | 45 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 28:38 | -10 | 29 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 24:42 | -18 | 27 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 21:42 | -21 | 23 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 31:55 | -24 | 21 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 28 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
