St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


St. Mirren
47.8%
Draw
26.8%
Kilmarnock
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.2% 27% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 27.3% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Mirren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Kilmarnock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • St. Mirren - Kilmarnock Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.96)
    3.5
    (3.5)
    3.74
    (3.82)
    6.8%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 2.
    • St. Mirren has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Kilmarnock has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • St. Mirren is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:31. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Mirren won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Mirren - Kilmarnock were as follows:
    11.02.2026 Kilmarnock - St. Mirren 4:3
    27.12.2025 St. Mirren - Kilmarnock 0:0
    04.10.2025 Kilmarnock - St. Mirren 2:0
    19.09.2025 Kilmarnock - St. Mirren 2:3
    29.03.2025 St. Mirren - Kilmarnock 5:1
    Latest results of St. Mirren
    02.05.2026 Dundee - St. Mirren 1:0
    25.04.2026 St. Mirren - Livingston 0:2
    19.04.2026 Celtic - St. Mirren 6:2
    11.04.2026 Celtic - St. Mirren 1:0
    04.04.2026 St. Mirren - Aberdeen 2:0
    Latest results of Kilmarnock
    02.05.2026 Kilmarnock - Dundee United 3:0
    25.04.2026 Aberdeen - Kilmarnock 1:0
    11.04.2026 Kilmarnock - Dundee 1:2
    04.04.2026 Hibernian - Kilmarnock 3:0
    21.03.2026 Kilmarnock - Livingston 2:0
    Scottish Premier League Table
    Relegation Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    7Dundee Utd3510131248:57-943
    8Aberdeen351071836:50-1437
    9Dundee FC35991735:56-2136
    10Kilmarnock357101840:66-2631
    11St. Mirren35791927:51-2430
    12Livingston ✔ 352141939:68-2920

          Premiership (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Livingston is Relegated to Championship