Result
0:4
27/02/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 24
- Referee: Qovanaj H. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 2.73 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (257/323) | 88% (492/561) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 2.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 3.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (257/323) | 88% (492/561) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (23/53) | 80% (52/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (60/89) | 84% (158/189) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 2.29 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.18 | 0.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.82 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Golliard R. ⚽, Pasche E. (A),
- 19', Sorensen A. 🟨,
- 19', Sorensen A. 🟨,
- 28', Gnakpa J. 🟨,
- 32', Doumbia O. 🟨,
- 40', Thiam M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Doumbia O. ↓, Weber P. ↑,
- 46', Thiam M. ↓, Tijani M. ↑,
- 49', Marchesano A. 🟨,
- 58', 0 - 2, Pasche E. ⚽, Sauthier A. (A),
- 64', Neelakandan R. ↓, Sessolo H. ↑,
- 64', Marchesano A. ↓, Saiz F. ↑,
- 64', Mayorga J. ↓, Bomo J. ↑,
- 64', Rey A. ↓, Sadiku A. ↑,
- 70', Bomo J. 🟨,
- 76', Vogt W. ↓, Rizvanovic M. ↑,
- 76', Rossier E. ↓, Jaiteh M. ↑,
- 76', Ayala D. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
- 78', Pasche E. ↓, Tasar V. ↑,
- 84', 0 - 3, Kongsro V. ⚽, Tasar V. (A),
- 89', 0 - 4, Tasar V. ⚽, Sauthier A. (A),
Chances of winning
Bellinzona
29.1% | Draw
27.5% | Yverdon
43.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bellinzona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Yverdon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bellinzona than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yverdon than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Bellinzona - Yverdon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.16 ↑
(2.8) |
3.34 ↑
(3.22) |
2.12 ↓
(2.34) |
8.9%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bellinzona - Yverdon?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Yverdon (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Yverdon will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Yverdon will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Yverdon (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bellinzona won 1.
- Bellinzona has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Yverdon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Yverdon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Bellinzona: Dermaku D.
(Injury)
Jashari E.
(Inactive)
Lymann F.
(Injury)
Osigwe S.
(Inactive)
Shabani M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Yverdon: Busset R.
(Injury)
Camara S.
(Inactive)
Gunnarsson N.
(Inactive)
Le Pogam W.
(Leg Injury)
Pos L.
(Inactive)
Sorgic D.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bellinzona won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bellinzona won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Bellinzona won against Yverdon?
Bellinzona has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yverdon won against Bellinzona?
Yverdon has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bellinzona - Yverdon were as follows:
19.10.2025
Yverdon
-
Bellinzona
2:0
26.08.2025
Bellinzona
-
Yverdon
0:0
21.04.2023
Yverdon
-
Bellinzona
1:2
29.01.2023
Bellinzona
-
Yverdon
0:2
22.10.2022
Bellinzona
-
Yverdon
1:2
Latest results of Bellinzona
Latest results of Yverdon
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vaduz | 24 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 53:25 | 28 | 58 |
| 2 | Aarau | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 48:33 | 15 | 53 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 49:30 | 19 | 46 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 35 |
| 5 | Xamax | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 33:34 | -1 | 32 |
| 6 | Rapperswil-Jona | 24 | 9 | 1 | 14 | 29:39 | -10 | 28 |
| 7 | Wil | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 20:35 | -15 | 25 |
| 8 | Stade Nyonnais | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 24:32 | -8 | 22 |
| 9 | Etoile-Carouge | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 20:45 | -25 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
