Result
0:1
13/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 27
- Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.78 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (495/582) | 67% (178/264) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (495/582) | 67% (178/264) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (23/47) | 29% (22/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (138/184) | 53% (33/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (9/37) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 69% (20/29) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Makanza N. ⚽,
- 17', de Nijs O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Bijleveld T. ↓, Takahashi N. ↑,
- 46', de Nijs O. ↓, Kalisvaart J. ↑,
- 46', Cornelisse E. ↓, Burgering B. ↑,
- 47', Van Den Eynden F. 🟨,
- 50', Makanza N. 🟨,
- 60', Geerts D. ↓, Daneels L. ↑,
- 62', Sam A. 🟨,
- 73', Van Den Eynden F. ↓, Semic L. ↑,
- 75', Sam A. ↓, Jacobs Ja. ↑,
- 75', Rijkhoff J. ↓, Reith B. ↑,
- 79', Absalem A. 🟨,
- 82', Absalem A. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
- 82', Leipold A. ↓, Zimuangana O. ↑,
- 82', Lawrence J. ↓, Providence R. ↑,
- 88', Bajrami L. ↓, Geerts J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Almere City 66.5% | Draw 18.6% | Helmond Sport 15% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Almere City - Helmond Sport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.41 ↓ (1.5) |
5.04 ↑ (4.71) |
6.28 ↑ (5.26) |
6.9% (6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Almere City - Helmond Sport?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almere City: 45% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Almere City (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Almere City (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Almere City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Almere City is a strong favorite.
- There are questionable in Almere City: Huisman B.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 1.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against Helmond Sport?
Almere City has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Helmond Sport won against Almere City?
Helmond Sport has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almere City - Helmond Sport were as follows:
03.10.2025
Helmond Sport
-
Almere City
2:1
17.02.2023
Almere City
-
Helmond Sport
0:0
02.09.2022
Helmond Sport
-
Almere City
3:0
Latest results of Almere City
Latest results of Helmond Sport
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 70:30 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 55:44 | 11 | 49 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 59:53 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Roda | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 49:43 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Almere City | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 60:50 | 10 | 42 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:38 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51:53 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Venlo | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 43:51 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Helmond | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 36:53 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 30 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 27 |
| 19 | Oss | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 40:53 | -13 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )