MVV Maastricht vs Almere City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

De Geusselt (Maastricht).

Eerste Divisie - Round 22
Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.76	1.07
Ball possession
43%	57%
Total shots
10	16
Shots on target
2	3
Big chances
2	3
Corner kicks
1	11
Passes
75% (254/338)	81% (358/441)
Yellow cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.76	1.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.20	0.79
Total shots
10	16
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
5	10
Blocked shots
3	3
Shots inside the box
4	8
Shots outside the box
6	8
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
2	3
Corner kicks
1	11
Touches in opposition box
11	37
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free kicks
8	3
Passes
75% (254/338)	81% (358/441)
Long passes
33% (25/76)	48% (22/46)
Passes in final third
58% (62/107)	70% (94/135)
Crosses
31% (4/13)	17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.52	0.92
Throw ins
19	12
Fouls
3	8
Tackles
67% (18/27)	82% (14/17)
Duels won
53	42
Clearances
37	25
Interceptions
12	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.79	0.20
Goals prevented
-0.21	0.20

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Tehubijuluw D. ↓, van Kempen M. ↑,
28', 1 - 0, Wendlinger J. (Own goal),
34', Burgering B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Burgering B. ↓, Providence R. ↑,
46', Kadile J. ↓, Druijf F. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Druijf F. ⚽,
71', Rijkhoff J. ↓, de Nijs O. ↑,
77', Cornelisse E. ↓, el Dahri H. ↑,
77', Sy K. ↓, Tran L. M. ↑,
77', Silva Timas I. ↓, Braken S. ↑,
89', Foubert L. ↓, Kassimi A. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

MVV Maastricht
20.2%

Draw
19.6%

Almere City
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

24%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

24.1%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Almere City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Almere City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

MVV Maastricht - Almere City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.59 ↑ (3.75)	4.75 ↑ (3.85)	1.55 ↓ (1.79)	7.3% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for MVV Maastricht - Almere City?

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Almere City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1 - Almere City (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Almere City will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Almere City (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

Postponed due to bad weather.
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 2.
Recent performances by Maastricht have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Almere City is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In this match, Almere City is the team to beat.
There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Almere City: Huisman B. (Ankle Injury) de Haan M. (Yellow Cards)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:30. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against Almere City?

MVV Maastricht has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against MVV Maastricht?

Almere City has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between MVV Maastricht - Almere City were as follows:

07.11.2025 Almere City - MVV Maastricht 4:0

19.05.2023 Almere City - MVV Maastricht 1:0

19.11.2022 MVV Maastricht - Almere City 1:0

Latest results of MVV Maastricht

30.01.2026 FC Eindhoven - MVV Maastricht 5:0 ✺

23.01.2026 MVV Maastricht - Jong Utrecht 2:2 ✺

18.01.2026 Den Bosch - MVV Maastricht 1:2 ✺

19.12.2025 Cambuur - MVV Maastricht 4:0 ✺

12.12.2025 MVV Maastricht - Jong Ajax 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Almere City

30.01.2026 Almere City - Roda 1:2 ✺

26.01.2026 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Almere City 3:4 ✺

18.01.2026 Almere City - De Graafschap 2:0 ✺

14.01.2026 Almere City - Telstar 1:3 ✺

20.12.2025 Almere City - Emmen 4:2 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag	38	29	2	7	90:37	53	89
2	Cambuur	38	23	9	6	75:48	27	78
3	Willem II	38	20	8	10	59:42	17	68
4	De Graafschap	38	18	9	11	74:58	16	63
5	Almere City	38	18	4	16	78:63	15	58
6	Waalwijk	38	16	10	12	71:59	12	58
7	Jong PSV	38	17	5	16	66:64	2	56
8	Roda	38	14	13	11	59:54	5	55
9	Den Bosch	38	14	9	15	65:69	-4	51
10	Dordrecht	38	12	11	15	48:56	-8	47
11	Eindhoven FC	38	14	5	19	51:69	-18	47
12	Jong Utrecht	38	12	10	16	58:62	-4	46
13	Venlo	38	13	6	19	50:58	-8	45
14	FC Emmen	38	12	9	17	58:72	-14	45
15	Vitesse	38	15	11	12	64:55	9	44
16	Oss	38	11	11	16	54:64	-10	44
17	Jong AZ	38	12	4	22	61:76	-15	40
18	Helmond	38	10	9	19	42:62	-20	39
19	Maastricht	38	9	11	18	41:73	-32	38
20	Jong Ajax	38	9	8	21	50:73	-23	35

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )