Result
4:1
29/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (216/267) | 85% (315/369) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (216/267) | 85% (315/369) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (21/38) | 42% (18/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (46/66) | 71% (80/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.23 | -2.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 17', Alvarez G. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 0, Tobar T. ⚽, Guerra S. (A),
- 27', 2 - 0, Tobar T. ⚽, Guerra S. (A),
- 36', Guerra S. 🟨,
- 36', Baldomar O. 🟨,
- 36', Santacruz Rodas J. F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Vaca P. ↓, Alvarez S. ↑,
- 50', 2 - 1, Chala W. ⚽, Centurion R. (A),
- 56', Mansilla A. ↓, Palacio D. ↑,
- 56', Alvarez W. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
- 60', Guerra S. ↓, Pavia L. ↑,
- 62', Amarilla N. 🟨,
- 63', 3 - 1, Restrepo E. ⚽, Amarilla N. (A),
- 65', Rojas J. 🟨,
- 72', Centurion R. ↓, Vaca H. ↑,
- 72', Salvatierra Flores K. F. ↓, Cristaldo J. E. ↑,
- 72', Santacruz Rodas J. F. ↓, Berdecio J. ↑,
- 74', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
- 75', Amarilla N. 🟨,
- 80', Tobar T. ↓, Demiquel L. ↑,
- 81', Rojas D. ↓, Amaral R. ↑,
- 81', Arce Pari J. ↓, Quiroz K. ↑,
- 82', 4 - 1, Rojas J. ⚽, Quiroz K. (A),
Chances of winning
Nacional Potosí
71% | Draw
17.6% | Oriente Petrolero
11.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional Potosí's performance.Oriente Petrolero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Nacional Potosí - Oriente Petrolero Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.43) |
5.28 ↑
(4.75) |
7.83 ↑
(5.93) |
7.7%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Nacional Potosí - Oriente Petrolero?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Oriente Petrolero will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 12 and 14)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí won 2.
- Recent form of Nacional Potosí has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Oriente Petrolero has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Oriente Petrolero may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Oriente Petrolero has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Nacional Potosí is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:32. (average 1.5:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional Potosí won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:9. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Potosí won against Oriente Petrolero?
Nacional Potosí has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oriente Petrolero won against Nacional Potosí?
Oriente Petrolero has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Potosí - Oriente Petrolero were as follows:
13.12.2024
Nacional Potosí
-
Oriente Petrolero
4:1
25.08.2024
Oriente Petrolero
-
Nacional Potosí
2:2
10.07.2023
Nacional Potosí
-
Oriente Petrolero
3:1
04.02.2023
Oriente Petrolero
-
Nacional Potosí
3:0
28.08.2022
Oriente Petrolero
-
Nacional Potosí
4:0
Latest results of Nacional Potosí
Latest results of Oriente Petrolero
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Always Ready | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 49:20 | 29 | 34 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 44:27 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Blooming | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 31:21 | 10 | 28 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34:16 | 18 | 27 |
| 5 | GV San Jose | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23:26 | -3 | 23 |
| 6 | SA Bulo Bulo | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 23:25 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 | Academia del Balompie | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18:24 | -6 | 18 |
| 8 | Nacional Potosi | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | Universitario de Vinto | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:22 | -2 | 17 |
| 10 | Guabira | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 26:32 | -6 | 16 |
| 11 | Oriente Petrolero | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
| 12 | Independiente | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 20:32 | -12 | 15 |
| 13 | Real Oruro | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Tomayapo | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11:33 | -22 | 6 |
| 16 | Aurora | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 26:24 | 2 | -14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
