Result
1:3
25/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Qatar | Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (425/489) | 87% (366/423) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (425/489) | 87% (366/423) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (28/51) | 54% (25/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (74/100) | 68% (58/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.54 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Moustafa A. ↓, Al Nasr N. ↑,
- 33', Ali T. 🟨,
- 40', Traore D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Djalo A. ↓, Gunnarsson A. ↑,
- 47', 0 - 1, Sassi F. ⚽, Brahimi Y. (A),
- 59', 1 - 1, Draxler J. (Pen),
- 62', Traore D. ↓, Surag A. ↑,
- 62', Al Oui A. ↓, Muntari M. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 2, Sano S. ⚽, Brahimi Y. (A),
- 79', Joselu ↓, Coman F. ↑,
- 79', Exposito E. ↓, Fettouhi D. ↑,
- 79', Mitrovic M. ↓, Yansane S. ↑,
- 84', Mohammed H. ↓, Mansour H. ↑,
- 84', Ali T. ↓, Yassine I. ↑,
- 85', Yassine I. 🟨,
- 90', 1 - 3, Tihi R. (Own goal),
- 90+3', Brahimi Y. ↓, Boussafi R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Ahli Doha
26.6% | Draw
23.3% | Al-Gharafa
50.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ahli Doha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Doha than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Gharafa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Gharafa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.5 ↓
(3.8) |
4 ↓
(4.25) |
1.86 ↑
(1.71) |
7.5%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli Doha won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Al-Gharafa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Al-Gharafa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli Doha won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ahli Doha won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:22. (average 0.8:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Doha won against Al-Gharafa?
Al-Ahli Doha has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Gharafa won against Al-Ahli Doha?
Al-Gharafa has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Gharafa were as follows:
22.01.2025
Al-Gharafa
-
Al-Ahli Doha
2:0
18.08.2024
Al-Ahli Doha
-
Al-Gharafa
1:0
08.05.2024
Al-Gharafa
-
Al-Ahli Doha
4:3
24.02.2024
Al-Gharafa
-
Al-Ahli Doha
1:2
01.09.2023
Al-Ahli Doha
-
Al-Gharafa
1:4
Latest results of Al-Ahli Doha
Latest results of Al-Gharafa
Qatar QSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Sadd | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 46:19 | 27 | 38 |
| 2 | Al-Gharafa | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 29:23 | 6 | 34 |
| 3 | Shamal | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 29:18 | 11 | 31 |
| 4 | Al Rayyan | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 35:28 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | Qatar SC | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27:26 | 1 | 24 |
| 6 | Al Arabi | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 30:32 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 | Al Wakra | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | Al-Duhail | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 21 |
| 9 | Umm-Salal | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 29:45 | -16 | 16 |
| 10 | Al Sailiya | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16:23 | -7 | 15 |
| 11 | Al Ahli Doha | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
| 12 | Al-Shahaniya | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 14 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
QSL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 2
