Austria Wien vs Ilves, UEFA Europa Conference League – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Austria Wien - Ilves
Result
4:4 penalties
31/07/2024 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: McNabb I. (Nir)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaORF 1, ORF TVthek

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
1110
Shots on Goal
86
Shots off Goal
34
Blocked Shots
00
Corner Kicks
46
Offsides
15
Goalkeeper Saves
34
Fouls
179
Yellow Cards
34
Attacks
146158
Dangerous Attacks
10994

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 6', Guenouche H. , Perez Vinlof M. ,
  • 22', 1 - 0, Malone M. , Perez Vinlof M. (A),
  • 27', 2 - 0, Gruber A. , Malone M. (A),
  • 30', 2 - 1, Ala-Myllymaki L. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', Ala-Myllymaki L. , Riski Ro. ,
  • 58', Ranftl R. 🟨,
  • 61', Potzmann M. , Pazourek L. ,
  • 61', Malone M. , Prelec N. ,
  • 68', 3 - 1, Barry A. , Gruber A. (A),
  • 78', Jorginho , Ulundu V. ,
  • 78', Jukkola O. , Soderback M. ,
  • 80', Martins M. , Meisl M. ,
  • 80', Gruber A. , Huskovic M. ,
  • 90', 3 - 2, Maenpaa A. ,
  • Extra Time (1 - 1)
  • 93', Huskovic M. 🟨,
  • 95', Pikkarainen J. 🟨,
  • 97', 4 - 2, Prelec N. ,
  • 100', Arifi D. 🟨,
  • 100', Fitz D. 🟨,
  • 102', Popovitch A. 🟨,
  • 106', Maenpaa A. , Akpudje J. ,
  • 107', Ulundu V. 🟨,
  • 112', 4 - 3, Soderback M. , Haarala S. (A),
  • 116', Ranftl R. , Plavotic T. ,
  • 120+1', Seppa V. , Virtanen O. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 5)
  • 1, Arifi D. (Pen),
  • 1, Fischer M. (Pen),
  • 2, Popovitch A. (Pen),
  • 2, Lucas Galvao (Pen),
  • 3, Haarala S. (Pen),
  • 3, Perez Vinlof M. (Pen),
  • 4, Pikkarainen J. (Pen),
  • 4, Meisl M. (Pen),
  • 5, Riski Ro. (Pen),
  • 5, Fitz D. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Austria Wien
69.1%
Draw
17.7%
Ilves
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.6% 19.1% 15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2% 17.8% 16.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Austria Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Wien than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Austria Wien that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Austria Wien - Ilves Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.41)
    5.23
    (4.83)
    7.13
    (6.03)
    7.2%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Austria Wien - Ilves?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Austria will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Ilves will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Austria: 58%94.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
    • Recent matches Austria is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Ilves is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Ilves could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Austria is absolute favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Austria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Austria Wien - Ilves were as follows:
    25.07.2024 Ilves - Austria Wien 2:1
    Latest results of Austria Wien
    Latest results of Ilves
    25.07.2024 Ilves - Austria Wien 2:1
    21.07.2024 Ilves - VPS Vaasa 3:2
    15.07.2024 Haka - Ilves 4:3
    06.07.2024 Ilves - HJK 3:0
    29.06.2024 Lahti - Ilves 2:2
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
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    6Mainz22002:026
    7Rayo Vallecano21104:224
    8Rakow21103:124
    9Strasbourg21103:214
    10Jagiellonia21102:114
    11Noah21102:114
    12AEK Athens FC21017:343
    13Zrinjski21015:143
    14Lech Poznan21015:323
    15Sparta Prague21014:223
    16Crystal Palace21012:113
    17Shakhtar Donetsk21014:403
    18Legia21012:203
    19Rijeka21011:103
    20Shkendija21011:2-13
    21AZ Alkmaar21011:4-33
    22Lincoln Red Imps21012:6-43
    23Drita20202:202
    24Hacken20202:202
    25KuPS20201:102
    26Omonia20111:2-11
    27Shelbourne20110:1-11
    28Sigma Olomouc20111:3-21
    29Univ. Craiova20111:3-21
    30Breidablik20110:3-31
    31Slovan Bratislava20021:3-20
    32Hamrun20020:2-20
    33Shamrock Rovers20021:6-50
    34Dyn. Kyiv20020:5-50
    35SK Rapid20021:7-60
    36Aberdeen20022:9-70

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