Result
3:2
24/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Round 4
- Referee: Kontinen J. (Fin)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 1.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (189/288) | 80% (376/471) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (189/288) | 80% (376/471) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (20/53) | 34% (20/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (61/119) | 76% (84/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (10/23) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.25 | 2.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.75 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Ronnberg V. ⚽,
- 4', Krkalic F. 🟨,
- 24', Riski Ro. ↓, Kilo J. ↑,
- 27', 2 - 0, Muzinga J. ⚽,
- 31', Smyth L. 🟨,
- 45+2', 3 - 0, Lindholm S. ⚽, Turfkruier J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Tiitinen O. ↓, Multala O. ↑,
- 49', Ronnberg V. 🟨,
- 49', Pettersson O. 🟨,
- 50', 3 - 1, Kanga J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 53', Lindholm S. 🟨,
- 61', 3 - 2, Multala O. ⚽,
- 63', Smyth L. ↓, Ali J. ↑,
- 63', Lindholm S. ↓, Raisanen A. ↑,
- 79', Muzinga J. ↓, Kouassivi-Benissan K. ↑,
- 83', Stjopin M. ↓, Baranov S. ↑,
- 83', Wallius K. ↓, Bamba G. ↑,
Chances of winning
VPS Vaasa
25% | Draw
26.8% | Ilves
48.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
VPS Vaasa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
VPS Vaasa - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.72 ↓
(3.78) |
3.52 ↓
(3.61) |
1.95 ↑
(1.91) |
6.6%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for VPS Vaasa - Ilves?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ilves (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Ilves will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, VPS won 1.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- In this match, Ilves is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in VPS: Haukioja M.
(Red Card)
Ogunniyi O.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in VPS: van Duivenbooden S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ilves: Ala-Myllymaki L.
(Injury)
Vaisanen S.
(Injury)
Virtanen O.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, VPS won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:31. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, VPS won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.9:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has VPS Vaasa won against Ilves?
VPS Vaasa has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against VPS Vaasa?
Ilves has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between VPS Vaasa - Ilves were as follows:
07.02.2026
VPS Vaasa
-
Ilves
1:2
14.07.2025
Ilves
-
VPS Vaasa
3:2
02.05.2025
VPS Vaasa
-
Ilves
1:0
15.02.2025
Ilves
-
VPS Vaasa
1:0
04.10.2024
VPS Vaasa
-
Ilves
0:2
Latest results of VPS Vaasa
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AC Oulu | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | HJK | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Inter Turku | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | KuPS | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | TPS | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | VPS | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Lahti | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 | SJK | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 9 | Jaro | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Ilves | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 2 |
| 11 | Mariehamn | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 2 |
| 12 | Gnistan | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
