Result
2:0
11/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 29
- Referee: Terzic A. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.78 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (261/337) | 82% (355/433) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (261/337) | 82% (355/433) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (27/57) | 36% (20/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (71/111) | 64% (60/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 5% (1/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Heister M. (Own goal),
- 45+1', 2 - 0, Boskovic B. ⚽, Pajac M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Frederiksen E. ↓, Obando A. ↑,
- 46', Hrvatin R. ↓, Sepic N. ↑,
- 50', Boskovic B. 🟨,
- 56', Ahmeti D. ↓, Agada C. ↑,
- 64', Jukic T. 🟥,
- 66', Ayuma I. ↓, Albarracin G. ↑,
- 66', Mauric A. ↓, Stulac L. ↑,
- 71', Vasilj J. ↓, Situm M. ↑,
- 73', Albarracin G. 🟨,
- 79', Stojakovic A. ↓, Sabra I. ↑,
- 80', Boskovic B. ↓, Lorber M. ↑,
- 80', Situm M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Subotic M. ↓, Kamenovic D. ↑,
- 90+3', Situm M. ↓, Kralevski T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lokomotiva Zagreb
54.5% | Draw
25.5% | Istra 1961
19.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiva Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lokomotiva Zagreb's performance.Istra 1961 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Istra 1961 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lokomotiva Zagreb that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Istra 1961 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lokomotiva Zagreb - Istra 1961 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(2.12) |
3.67 ↑
(3.23) |
4.7 ↑
(3.25) |
6.6%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lokomotiva Zagreb - Istra 1961?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lokomotiva Zagreb will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lokomotiva Zagreb will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiva won 0.
- Recent form of Lokomotiva has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Istra 1961 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lokomotiva might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Lokomotiva: Katic I.
(Shoulder Injury)
Leovac M.
(Injury)
Sigali L.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Istra 1961: Kadusic A.
(Yellow Cards)
Kumar R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Lokomotiva: Kamenovic D.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiva won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:21. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiva won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiva Zagreb won against Istra 1961?
Lokomotiva Zagreb has won 6 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Istra 1961 has won 4 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiva Zagreb - Istra 1961 were as follows:
30.01.2026
Istra 1961
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
1:1
25.10.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Istra 1961
1:2
09.08.2025
Istra 1961
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
2:2
03.05.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Istra 1961
0:0
04.03.2025
Istra 1961
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
3:0
Latest results of Lokomotiva Zagreb
Latest results of Istra 1961
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb ✔ | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 85:26 | 59 | 76 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split ✔ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 51:29 | 22 | 61 |
| 3 | Varazdin | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 41:42 | -1 | 47 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 41:36 | 5 | 43 |
| 5 | Lok. Zagreb | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 38:47 | -9 | 41 |
| 6 | Gorica | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
| 7 | Slaven Belupo | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 38 |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 35:47 | -12 | 36 |
| 9 | Osijek | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 25:45 | -20 | 32 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 33:62 | -29 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
Clinched Spots for Teams
Din. Zagreb is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Hajduk Split is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
