Result
1:2
03/04/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.15 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (285/388) | 73% (246/338) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (285/388) | 73% (246/338) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (22/61) | 37% (25/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (45/76) | 65% (77/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.92 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (11/24) | 85% (17/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.33 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Glaudans A. ⚽, Pathe N. (A),
- 28', 0 - 2, Pathe N. ⚽, Glaudans A. (A),
- 33', Silagailis H. 🟨,
- 40', Ivulans M. ↓, Mashchenko V. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Silagailis H. ↓, Machado F. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 2, Kalnins M. ⚽, Vejkrigers D. (A),
- 56', Bamba 🟨,
- 58', Ndiaye I. 🟨,
- 60', Ndiaye I. ↓, Tihonovics M. ↑,
- 61', Glaudans A. ↓, Lizunovs V. ↑,
- 66', Kalnins M. 🟨,
- 68', Evelons E. ↓, Johnson K. ↑,
- 71', Sitjakovs R. ↓, Barkovskis N. ↑,
- 71', Pathe N. ↓, Vasilevskis M. ↑,
- 78', Ziemelis R. ↓, Mickevics T. ↑,
- 79', Kalnins M. ↓, Sedols D. ↑,
- 87', Bamba ↓, Diallo Ndiaye S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ogre United
28.6% | Draw
28% | Super Nova
43.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ogre United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Super Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ogre United than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Ogre United - Super Nova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.23 ↑
(2.78) |
3.31 ↓
(3.45) |
2.13 ↓
(2.34) |
8.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Ogre United is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Super Nova has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Super Nova has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ogre United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Ogre United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Ogre United won against Super Nova?
Ogre United has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Super Nova won against Ogre United?
Super Nova has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ogre United - Super Nova were as follows:
10.11.2024
Super Nova
-
Ogre United
3:0
27.07.2024
Ogre United
-
Super Nova
1:1
Latest results of Ogre United
Latest results of Super Nova
Latvian Virsliga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | RFS | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 22:9 | 13 | 13 |
| 3 | Auda | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | Super Nova | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 6 | Grobina | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | FK Liepaja | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 8 | Jelgava | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:13 | -9 | 5 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 3 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
