Holstein Kiel vs Borussia Mönchengladbach – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:3
26/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 31
  • Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free, New World TV
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 1
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaRCTI+
japanJapanSKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 6
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandViaplay
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.671.72
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
2115
Shots on target
117
Big Chances
56
Corner Kicks
78
Passes
76% (190/251)86% (372/432)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.671.72
xG on target (xGOT)
2.792.96
Total shots
2115
Shots on target
117
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
1313
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
56
Corner Kicks
78
Touches in opposition box
2524
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
76% (190/251)86% (372/432)
Long passes
56% (23/41)40% (18/45)
Passes in final third
67% (47/70)66% (65/99)
Crosses
25% (5/20)23% (7/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.911.37
Throw-ins
2121
Fouls
1311
Tackles
64% (9/14)55% (6/11)
Duels won
4740
Clearances
3132
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
47
xGOT faced
2.962.79
Goals prevented
-0.04-1.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Machino S. , Tolkin J. (A),
  • 23', 2 - 0, Bernhardsson A. ,
  • 37', Cvancara T. 🟨,
  • 41', Tolkin J. , Porath F. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 60', 2 - 1, Cvancara T. , Hack R. (A),
  • 61', Hack R. , Honorat F. ,
  • 61', Reitz R. , Neuhaus F. ,
  • 69', Chiarodia F. C. , Friedrich M. ,
  • 69', 2 - 2, Plea A. , Honorat F. (A),
  • 74', Rosenboom L. , Harres P. ,
  • 76', 3 - 2, Gigovic A. , Porath F. (A),
  • 82', Weigl J. , Stoger K. ,
  • 82', Ullrich L. , Netz L. ,
  • 83', Machino S. 🟨,
  • 85', Ivezic M. 🟨,
  • 86', 3 - 3, Honorat F. , Kleindienst T. (A),
  • 89', Bernhardsson A. , Johansson C. ,
  • 89', Ivezic M. , Knudsen M. ,
  • 89', Gigovic A. , Javorcek D. ,
  • 90+1', 4 - 3, Machino S. ,

Chances of winning


Holstein Kiel
34%
Draw
25.3%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.2% 24.9% 42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 25.2% 42.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Holstein Kiel - Borussia Mönchengladbach Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (3)
    3.79
    (3.87)
    2.36
    (2.25)
    3.9%
    (3.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel - Borussia Mönchengladbach?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Borussia M (2.04) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH 0 - Holstein Kiel (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Borussia Mönchengladbach will win (31 of 39 users predict this - 79.49%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.82%92.16%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Borussia Mönchengladbach will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Holstein Kiel (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Borussia M (votes: 13 - 81.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 9).
    • Holstein Kiel is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Borussia M is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Borussia M will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Arp J.-F. (Yellow Cards) Erras P. (Concussion) Holtby L. (Muscle Injury) Kelati A. Y. (Knee Injury) Kleine-Bekel C. (Knee Injury) Komenda M. (Thigh Injury) Nekic I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Borussia M: Borges Sanches Y. (Muscle Injury) Ngoumou N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nicolas M. (Groin Injury) Sander P. (Illness) Swider N. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Zec D. (Concussion)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Holstein Kiel - Borussia Mönchengladbach were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Holstein Kiel 4:1
    29.07.2024 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Holstein Kiel 1:0
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 322651116:358183
    2Dortmund32207565:323367
    3RB Leipzig32195863:422162
    4Bayer Leverkusen32177866:432358
    5Stuttgart32177866:462058
    6Hoffenheim32177864:481658
    7Freiburg321281245:53-844
    8Eintracht Frankfurt3211101157:60-343
    9Augsburg321171442:56-1440
    10Mainz329101341:50-937
    11B. Monchengladbach328111337:50-1335
    12Hamburger SV328101436:51-1534
    13Union Berlin32891537:57-2033
    14FC Koln327111447:55-832
    15Werder Bremen32881637:57-2032
    16Wolfsburg32681842:67-2526
    17St. Pauli32681827:55-2826
    18Heidenheim32581938:69-3123

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )