Jonny Clayton vs Michael Van Gerwen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/03/2026 at 15:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Jonny Clayton
51.3%
Michael Van Gerwen
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.9% 49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 55.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jonny Clayton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Michael Van Gerwen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jonny Clayton than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jonny Clayton that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michael Van Gerwen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jonny Clayton - Michael Van Gerwen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.84)

    1.91
    (1.91)
    6.7%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 9.50
    Preview Facts
    • Clayton is ranked World Ranking: 5. Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 4.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Clayton won 2.
    • Clayton is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Van Gerwen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Clayton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Clayton won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 116:120. (average 5.8:6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jonny Clayton - Michael Van Gerwen were as follows:
    13.09.2024 Michael Van Gerwen - Jonny Clayton 6:4
    21.04.2024 Michael Van Gerwen - Jonny Clayton 6:4
    24.09.2023 Jonny Clayton - Michael Van Gerwen 5:6
    06.04.2023 Michael Van Gerwen - Jonny Clayton 3:6
    30.03.2023 Jonny Clayton - Michael Van Gerwen 6:5
    Latest results of Jonny Clayton
    Latest results of Michael Van Gerwen
    Draw
    Night 5

    Quarter-finals
    1van Gerwen M.Humphries L.1 : 6
    2van Veen G.Clayton J.4 : 6
    3Price G.Bunting S.6 : 5
    4Littler L.Rock J.6 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1Humphries L.Clayton J.4 : 6
    2Price G.Littler L.

    Final
    1Clayton J.TBD #2