Cimarrones de Sonora vs Atlético La Paz: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Cimarrones de Sonora - Atlético La Paz
Result
2:1
02/04/2024 at 21:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Goal Attempts
147
Shots on Goal
62
Shots off Goal
85
Corner Kicks
63
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Yellow Cards
23
Attacks
10285
Dangerous Attacks
6447

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Cisneros D. ,
  • 36', Orrantia E. 🟨,
  • 45', Peralta J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Orrantia E. , Jimenez D. ,
  • 58', Keko , Perez L. ,
  • 58', Gutierrez L. , Palma M. ,
  • 60', Alaffita Garcia E. J. 🟨,
  • 60', Perez L. 🟨,
  • 62', Arellano A. , Navarro B. ,
  • 67', Mendoza R. 🟨,
  • 68', 2 - 0, Lopez D. ,
  • 72', Benitez M. , Parra Teran J. A. ,
  • 72', Gomez Del Rosal N. , Gurrola J. ,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Perez L. ,
  • 79', Lopez D. , Acuna F. ,
  • 79', Tejeda D. , Manriquez S. ,
  • 88', Santos F. , Jaimes U. ,

Chances of winning


Cimarrones de Sonora
52.1%
Draw
25.5%
Atlético La Paz
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 27.5% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7% 28.6% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cimarrones de Sonora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cimarrones de Sonora's performance.
  • Atlético La Paz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético La Paz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cimarrones de Sonora than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cimarrones de Sonora that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético La Paz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cimarrones de Sonora - Atlético La Paz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (2.07)
    3.61
    (3.3)
    4.13
    (3.17)
    8.5%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Cimarrones de Sonora - Atlético La Paz?
  • Users Predictions: Cimarrones de Sonora will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Cimarrones de Sonora could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Cimarrones de Sonora will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Cimarrones de Sonora won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cimarrones de Sonora won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cimarrones de Sonora - Atlético La Paz were as follows:
    30.08.2023 Atlético La Paz - Cimarrones de Sonora 1:0
    01.02.2023 Atlético La Paz - Cimarrones de Sonora 1:2
    30.08.2022 Cimarrones de Sonora - Atlético La Paz 4:0
    Latest results of Cimarrones de Sonora
    Latest results of Atlético La Paz
    Draw
    Super final

    Final
    1TapatioLeones Negros2 : 1, 1 : 0
    X
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