Result
2:1
25/04/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Premier Serie A - Reserves - Play Offs - Final
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 52', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 59', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+1', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Cimarrones de Sonora
44.9% | Draw
27.7% | Celaya
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cimarrones de Sonora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cimarrones de Sonora's form might have worsened.Celaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cimarrones de Sonora than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cimarrones de Sonora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Cimarrones de Sonora - Celaya Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↑
(1.82) |
3.28 ↓
(3.5) |
3.31 ↓
(3.94) |
10.3%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 1-2. Second leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cimarrones de Sonora won 0.
- Cimarrones de Sonora has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Celaya is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Cimarrones de Sonora is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cimarrones de Sonora won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:29. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cimarrones de Sonora won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cimarrones de Sonora won against Celaya?
Cimarrones de Sonora has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Celaya won against Cimarrones de Sonora?
Celaya has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cimarrones de Sonora - Celaya were as follows:
22.04.2026
Celaya
-
Cimarrones de Sonora
2:1
24.03.2024
Cimarrones de Sonora
-
Celaya
0:1
05.09.2023
Celaya
-
Cimarrones de Sonora
1:1
21.03.2023
Cimarrones de Sonora
-
Celaya
1:1
05.11.2022
Celaya
-
Cimarrones de Sonora
3:1
Latest results of Cimarrones de Sonora
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Racing de Veracruz | Bye | |
| 2 | Tigres de Alica | Halcones | 2 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Alacranes de Durango | Bye | |
| 4 | Santiago | Zacatepec | 2 : 3, 1 : 1 |
| 5 | Deportiva Venados | Club Calor | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Tapachula | Tritones Vallarta | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Apodaca | Bye | |
| 8 | Tecos | Inter Playa Del Carmen | 0 : 0, 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Racing de Veracruz | Halcones | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Alacranes de Durango | Zacatepec | 1 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 3 | Deportiva Venados | Tritones Vallarta | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Apodaca | Inter Playa Del Carmen | 3 : 1, 0 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Halcones | Alacranes de Durango | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Deportiva Venados | Apodaca | 4 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Alacranes de Durango | Deportiva Venados | |
