Cimarrones de Sonora vs Celaya – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
24/03/2024 at 21:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MEXICO: LIGA DE EXPANSION MX - CLAUSURA - ROUND 12
  • Referee: Contreras Q. (Mex)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Goal Attempts
125
Shots on Goal
62
Shots off Goal
63
Corner Kicks
59
Goalkeeper Saves
16
Red Cards
21
Yellow Cards
44
Attacks
7285
Dangerous Attacks
5759

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 36', Acuna F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Del Angel E. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 46', Manriquez S. , Aguirre C. ,
  • 58', Martinez J. 🟨,
  • 58', Monreal E. 🟨,
  • 60', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
  • 61', Perez J. , Rodriguez Carlos ,
  • 61', Mendoza B. , Wlk Dure A. S. ,
  • 71', Acuna F. , Lopez D. ,
  • 71', Cisneros D. , Arellano A. ,
  • 71', Jimenez D. , Lopez J. ,
  • 73', Navarro B. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 0 - 1, Wlk Dure A. S. ,
  • 90+1', Wlk Dure A. S. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 🟨,
  • 90+6', 🟥,
  • 90+6', 🟥,
  • 90+6', 🟥,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cimarrones de Sonora
30.2%
Draw
28.6%
Celaya
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 29.8% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2% 30.9% 37.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cimarrones de Sonora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Celaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Celaya's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cimarrones de Sonora than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Cimarrones de Sonora - Celaya Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.06
    (2.6)
    3.22
    (3)
    2.24
    (2.5)
    8.4%
    (11.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cimarrones de Sonora won 0.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Celaya could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Celaya will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Cimarrones de Sonora won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 21-28.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cimarrones de Sonora won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cimarrones de Sonora - Celaya were as follows:
    05.09.2023 Celaya - Cimarrones de Sonora 1:1
    21.03.2023 Cimarrones de Sonora - Celaya 1:1
    05.11.2022 Celaya - Cimarrones de Sonora 3:1
    02.11.2022 Cimarrones de Sonora - Celaya 0:0
    24.08.2022 Celaya - Cimarrones de Sonora 3:1
    Latest results of Celaya
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ 1475221:101126
    2Atl. Morelia1372418:11723
    3Cancun1364322:16622
    4Atletico La Paz1356221:111021
    5Tapatio1362527:21620
    6Zacatecas Mineros1362519:20-120
    7Atlante1354420:16419
    8Irapuato1361627:24319
    9Tlaxcala1354414:15-119
    10Jaiba Brava1353514:15-118
    11Venados1343623:23015
    12Alebrijes Oaxaca1334617:28-1113
    13Correcaminos1333713:24-1112
    14Leones Negros1325614:23-911
    15Dorados de Sinaloa1324714:27-1310

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)