Result
2:1
15/02/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.22 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (427/514) | 73% (218/300) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (427/514) | 73% (218/300) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (35/64) | 37% (23/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (87/139) | 44% (32/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.17 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 38% (3/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 24 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Arroyo A. ⚽, Rivas Torres R. D. (A),
- 20', 1 - 1, Montano I. ⚽, Aedo A. (A),
- 25', Aedo A. 🟨,
- 32', Mena J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 67', Amaya A. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
- 67', Cajares J. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 71', Mena J. ↓, Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↑,
- 71', Navarro S. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
- 79', Rivas Torres R. D. ↓, Palacios S. ↑,
- 81', Cabrera Y. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 1, Arroyo A. ⚽, Sinisterra J. (A),
- 90', Banguero A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Diaz Y. 🟨,
- 90+6', Silva M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza CEIF
57% | Draw
26.8% | Boyacá Chicó
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortaleza CEIF's form might have worsened.Boyacá Chicó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boyacá Chicó's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortaleza CEIF that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (-2%)
Fortaleza CEIF - Boyacá Chicó Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↑
(1.4) |
3.52 ↓
(4.16) |
5.68 ↓
(8.65) |
6.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - Boyacá Chicó?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortaleza: 64.6% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Boyacá Chicó (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fortaleza CEIF will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Boyacá Chicó (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 2.
- In recent matches, Fortaleza has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Boyacá Chicó is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Fortaleza is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 0.8:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Boyacá Chicó?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boyacá Chicó won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Boyacá Chicó has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - Boyacá Chicó were as follows:
13.10.2025
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Boyacá Chicó
1:0
21.04.2025
Boyacá Chicó
-
Fortaleza CEIF
0:2
31.08.2024
Boyacá Chicó
-
Fortaleza CEIF
2:2
23.02.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Boyacá Chicó
1:1
28.10.2022
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Boyacá Chicó
0:2
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Latest results of Boyacá Chicó
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Once Caldas ✔ | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
| 4 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 5 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 6 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
| 18 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
| 19 | Alianza | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 16 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
