Portland Thorns vs San Diego Wave – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football NWSL Portland Thorns - San Diego Wave
Result
1:1
20/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NWSL Women
  • Referee: Bensalah N. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN+
kenyaKenyaGotv
mexicoMexicoAzteca Deportes
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
usaUsaion TV, NSWL+, NWSL+ app, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.141.22
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
38
Passes
80% (258/324)84% (368/439)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
1.141.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.131.06
Total shots
914
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
1536
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
147
Passes
80% (258/324)84% (368/439)
Long passes
46% (22/48)53% (19/36)
Passes in final third
63% (56/89)77% (103/134)
Crosses
40% (4/10)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.441.11
Throw-ins
2016
Fouls
714
Tackles
67% (10/15)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4634
Clearances
2816
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
1.061.13
Goals prevented
0.060.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Corley G. 🟨,
  • 16', Dufour J. , Alidou d'Anjou M. ,
  • 32', McCaskill S. 🟨,
  • 38', Turner R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', Leon A. 🟨,
  • 56', 0 - 1, McCaskill S. ,
  • 63', Tordin P. , Sugita H. ,
  • 76', Dudinha , Robbe M. ,
  • 76', Corley G. , Fazer L. ,
  • 76', Mckenzie M. , Spaanstra A. ,
  • 77', Alidou d'Anjou M. , Castellanos D. ,
  • 83', McCaskill S. , Morroni P. ,
  • 85', Armstrong T. 🟨,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Reyes R. ,
  • 90+1', Morroni P. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Lundkvist H. , Carusa K. ,

Chances of winning


Portland Thorns
36.4%
Draw
27.8%
San Diego Wave
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 29.3% 37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 28.4% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Thorns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • San Diego Wave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Thorns than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Wave than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Portland Thorns - San Diego Wave Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.7)
    3.37
    (3.1)
    2.67
    (2.46)
    8.1%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland Thorns won 1.
    • Recent performances by Portland Thorns have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • San Diego Wave is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • San Diego Wave may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Portland Thorns won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portland Thorns won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Thorns - San Diego Wave were as follows:
    10.05.2025 San Diego Wave - Portland Thorns 1:1
    28.09.2024 San Diego Wave - Portland Thorns 2:0
    18.09.2024 San Diego Wave - Portland Thorns 3:2
    05.07.2024 Portland Thorns - San Diego Wave 1:0
    30.09.2023 Portland Thorns - San Diego Wave 0:2
    Latest results of Portland Thorns
    Latest results of San Diego Wave
    NWSL Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kansas City Current W ✔ 23192245:113459
    2Washington Spirit W23127439:281143
    3Orlando Pride W24106829:24536
    4Gotham W2398631:181335
    5Seattle Reign W2498729:27235
    6Portland Thorns W2497832:29334
    7Racing Louisville W2496932:36-433
    8San Diego Wave W2387831:29231
    9North Carolina Courage W2377929:35-628
    10Houston Dash W23761026:35-927
    11Angel City W23661128:37-924
    12Utah Royals W23571124:37-1322
    13Bay FC W24481225:36-1120
    14Chicago W242111129:47-1817

          Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Kansas City Current W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)