Orenburg vs Akron Tolyatti – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
28/02/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 19
  • Referee: Prokopov A. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.381.36
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
75
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
45
Passes
66% (196/296)63% (173/273)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
2.381.36
xG on target (xGOT)
2.840.91
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
93
Blocked shots
53
Shots inside the box
128
Shots outside the box
93
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2723
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free kicks
1714
Passes
66% (196/296)63% (173/273)
Long passes
46% (33/71)41% (28/69)
Passes in final third
60% (87/146)55% (58/106)
Crosses
17% (3/18)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.271.06
Throw ins
1412
Fouls
1417
Tackles
78% (7/9)71% (10/14)
Duels won
5169
Clearances
4427
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
55
xGOT faced
0.912.84
Goals prevented
-0.090.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', Avanesyan T. 🟨,
  • 28', Escoval R. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Savelyev M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Loncar S. , Benchimol ,
  • 61', Boldyrev M. , Djakovac I. ,
  • 71', 2 - 0, Gurluk E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 71', Tsenov E. , Tataev A. ,
  • 71', Kul R. , Du Queiroz ,
  • 71', Avanesyan T. , Kvekveskiri I. ,
  • 75', Pestryakov D. , Sevikyan E. ,
  • 75', Bistrovic K. , Kuzmin M. ,
  • 83', Kuzmin M. 🟨,
  • 84', Savelyev M. , Guzina G. ,
  • 90+1', Gurluk E. , Kasimov A. ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Orenburg
44.2%
Draw
26.3%
Akron Tolyatti
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.8% 26.7% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Akron Tolyatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Orenburg - Akron Tolyatti Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.09)
    3.69
    (3.59)
    3.29
    (3.47)
    3.1%
    (4.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Orenburg - Akron Tolyatti?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Orenburg will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Akron will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Akron (2.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Akron (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 3.
    • Akron may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Orenburg could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Orenburg: Bolotov E. (Yellow Cards) Khotulev D. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Akron: Nedelcearu I. (Red Card)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg - Akron Tolyatti were as follows:
    17.08.2025 Akron Tolyatti - Orenburg 1:2
    30.11.2024 Akron Tolyatti - Orenburg 1:0
    10.08.2024 Orenburg - Akron Tolyatti 2:2
    Latest results of Orenburg
    20.02.2026 Orenburg - Rubin Kazan 0:1
    13.02.2026 Orenburg - Kairat 0:1
    06.02.2026 Orenburg - Bunyodkor 3:1
    06.02.2026 Orenburg - Arsenal Tula Canceled
    05.12.2025 Akhmat Grozny - Orenburg 1:0
    Latest results of Akron Tolyatti
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Krasnodar24165349:173253
    2Zenit24157244:172752
    3Lokomotiv Moscow24129350:331745
    4Baltika241111234:132144
    5CSKA Moscow24133836:261042
    6Spartak Moscow24126638:32642
    7Dynamo Moscow2497843:35834
    8Rubin Kazan2497823:25-234
    9Akhmat Grozny2487929:31-231
    10FK Rostov24681019:26-726
    11Dynamo Makhachkala24581115:30-1523
    12Akron Togliatti24571230:43-1322
    13Krylya Sovetov24571225:44-1922
    14Pari NN24631520:39-1921
    15Orenburg24481224:36-1220
    16Sochi24331821:53-3212

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL