Mineros de Fresnillo vs Leones Negros 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
14/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Premier Serie A - Round 23

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, ,
  • 30', 2 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 69', 3 - 0, ,
  • 73', 🟥,
  • 81', 3 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Mineros de Fresnillo
32%
Draw
28%
Leones Negros 2
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.5% 26% 43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 25.9% 43.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mineros de Fresnillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Leones Negros 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mineros de Fresnillo than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros 2 than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Mineros de Fresnillo - Leones Negros 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.83
    (2.93)
    3.23
    (3.43)
    2.26
    (2.05)
    10.6%
    (12.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mineros de Fresnillo won 2.
    • In recent matches, Mineros de Fresnillo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Leones Negros 2 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Leones Negros 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Mineros de Fresnillo won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mineros de Fresnillo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mineros de Fresnillo - Leones Negros 2 were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Leones Negros 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo 2:1
    26.04.2025 Leones Negros 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo 1:2
    08.02.2025 Mineros de Fresnillo - Leones Negros 2 2:1
    05.10.2024 Leones Negros 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo 1:0
    23.03.2024 Mineros de Fresnillo - Leones Negros 2 1:1
    Latest results of Mineros de Fresnillo
    Latest results of Leones Negros 2
    Draw
    Reserves - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Cimarrones de SonoraMineros de Fresnillo1 : 1
    2Leones Negros 2Celaya

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2