Leones Negros 2 vs Mineros de Fresnillo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga Premier Serie A Leones Negros 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo
Result
1:2
26/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Premier Serie A - Clausura Reserves - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 32', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 65', 1 - 1, Martinez C. ,
  • 68', 1 - 2, Rodriguez G. ,

Chances of winning


Leones Negros 2
55.6%
Draw
23.7%
Mineros de Fresnillo
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.1% 23% 16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6% 22.1% 16.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leones Negros 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Mineros de Fresnillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros 2 than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leones Negros 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mineros de Fresnillo than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Leones Negros 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.51)
    3.87
    (3.93)
    4.43
    (5.34)
    8.9%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 5-1. 2nd leg.
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Leones Negros 2 won 2.
    • Recent matches Leones Negros 2 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Mineros de Fresnillo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Leones Negros 2 is a favorite.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Leones Negros 2 won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Leones Negros 2 won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.5:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leones Negros 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Mineros de Fresnillo - Leones Negros 2 2:1
    05.10.2024 Leones Negros 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo 1:0
    23.03.2024 Mineros de Fresnillo - Leones Negros 2 1:1
    21.10.2023 Leones Negros 2 - Mineros de Fresnillo 3:0
    07.01.2023 Mineros de Fresnillo - Leones Negros 2 1:0
    Latest results of Leones Negros 2
    Latest results of Mineros de Fresnillo
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Final
    1IrapuatoPeriban1 : 2, 1 : 1