Mineros de Fresnillo vs Tigres de Álica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
28/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Premier Serie A - Round 21

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 38', 1 - 0, ,
  • 39', 2 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 69', 2 - 1, ,
  • 88', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Mineros de Fresnillo
28.8%
Draw
27.5%
Tigres de Álica
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.3% 27.5% 46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5% 25.6% 49.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mineros de Fresnillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Tigres de Álica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mineros de Fresnillo than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigres de Álica than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tigres de Álica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mineros de Fresnillo - Tigres de Álica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.16
    (3.4)
    3.31
    (3.25)
    2.09
    (1.93)
    9.8%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).
    • In recent matches, Mineros de Fresnillo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tigres de Álica is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Tigres de Álica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Tigres de Álica has had a series of home games.
    • Tigres de Álica will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mineros de Fresnillo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Mineros de Fresnillo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mineros de Fresnillo - Tigres de Álica were as follows:
    13.10.2025 Tigres de Álica - Mineros de Fresnillo 0:1
    18.01.2025 Tigres de Álica - Mineros de Fresnillo 1:0
    14.09.2024 Mineros de Fresnillo - Tigres de Álica 0:1
    Latest results of Mineros de Fresnillo
    Latest results of Tigres de Álica
    Draw
    Reserves - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Cimarrones de SonoraMineros de Fresnillo1 : 1
    2Leones Negros 2Celaya

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2