Result
2:1
28/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Premier Serie A - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 38', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 39', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 69', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 88', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Mineros de Fresnillo 28.8% | Draw 27.5% | Tigres de Álica 43.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mineros de Fresnillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Tigres de Álica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mineros de Fresnillo than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigres de Álica than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tigres de Álica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mineros de Fresnillo - Tigres de Álica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.16 ↓ (3.4) |
3.31 ↑ (3.25) |
2.09 ↑ (1.93) |
9.8% (12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).
- In recent matches, Mineros de Fresnillo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tigres de Álica is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Tigres de Álica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Tigres de Álica has had a series of home games.
- Tigres de Álica will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mineros de Fresnillo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Mineros de Fresnillo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Mineros de Fresnillo won against Tigres de Álica?
Mineros de Fresnillo has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tigres de Álica won against Mineros de Fresnillo?
Tigres de Álica has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mineros de Fresnillo - Tigres de Álica were as follows:
13.10.2025
Tigres de Álica
-
Mineros de Fresnillo
0:1
18.01.2025
Tigres de Álica
-
Mineros de Fresnillo
1:0
14.09.2024
Mineros de Fresnillo
-
Tigres de Álica
0:1
Latest results of Mineros de Fresnillo
Latest results of Tigres de Álica
Draw
Reserves - Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Cimarrones de Sonora | Mineros de Fresnillo | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Leones Negros 2 | Celaya | |
Final