Result
4:0
02/05/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Relegation Group - Round 30
- Referee: Untergasser A. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (274/380) | 70% (210/300) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 0.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (274/380) | 70% (210/300) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (22/80) | 23% (14/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (51/103) | 48% (37/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.55 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 30% (8/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.62 | 2.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.62 | -1.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 32', 1 - 0, Italiano J. ⚽, Schriebl T. (A),
- 42', 2 - 0, Grosse M. ⚽,
- 45+3', Lichtenberger C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 49', Lawrence J. 🟨,
- 54', 3 - 0, Grosse M. ⚽, Lichtenberger C. (A),
- 57', Harakate R. ↓, Satin M. ↑,
- 62', Baden Frederiksen N. ↓, Sabitzer T. ↑,
- 62', Lawrence J. ↓, Kubatta D. ↑,
- 62', Taferner M. ↓, Votter Y. ↑,
- 66', Boras M. ↓, Jaunegg D. ↑,
- 70', 4 - 0, Lichtenberger C. ⚽, Grosse M. (A),
- 75', Kreuzriegler M. ↓, Vraa-Jensen L. ↑,
- 76', Hinterseer L. ↓, Huetz C. ↑,
- 86', Grosse M. ↓, Frieser D. ↑,
- 86', Lichtenberger C. ↓, Koch T. ↑,
- 86', Olesen M. ↓, Paumgartner T. ↑,
- 90+1', Gugganig D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grazer AK
41.4% | Draw
29% | Swarovski Tirol
29.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grazer AK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Swarovski Tirol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grazer AK than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swarovski Tirol than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Grazer AK - Swarovski Tirol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↑
(2.19) |
3.23 ↓
(3.3) |
3.15 ↓
(3.25) |
6.6%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Grazer AK - Swarovski Tirol?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Grazer will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Swarovski Tirol will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Grazer AK will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grazer won 1.
- Grazer has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Swarovski Tirol has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Grazer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Grazer is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Grazer: Maderner D.
(Injury)
Schiestl T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Swarovski Tirol: Butler Q.
(Knee Injury)
Geris T.
(Inactive)
Ola-Adebomi A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Grazer: Jano Z.
(Broken ankle)
Oberleitner Y.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Grazer won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grazer won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Grazer AK won against Swarovski Tirol?
Grazer AK has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swarovski Tirol won against Grazer AK?
Swarovski Tirol has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grazer AK - Swarovski Tirol were as follows:
21.03.2026
Swarovski Tirol
-
Grazer AK
1:5
08.03.2026
Swarovski Tirol
-
Grazer AK
2:0
16.08.2025
Grazer AK
-
Swarovski Tirol
1:1
23.05.2025
Swarovski Tirol
-
Grazer AK
1:1
29.03.2025
Grazer AK
-
Swarovski Tirol
0:0
Latest results of Grazer AK
Latest results of Swarovski Tirol
Austrian Bundesliga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sturm Graz | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 45:33 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | LASK | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 48:40 | 8 | 30 |
| 3 | Salzburg | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 54:36 | 18 | 29 |
| 4 | SK Rapid | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 35:34 | 1 | 27 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 43:47 | -4 | 26 |
| 6 | Hartberg | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 35:35 | 0 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
