Result
1:3
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 33
- Referee: Martin S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.21 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (265/361) | 68% (215/318) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (265/361) | 68% (215/318) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (26/60) | 32% (22/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (68/106) | 56% (55/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (5/34) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.68 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.29 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Alli M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', 0 - 1, Caballero G. ⚽,
- 55', 0 - 2, Swift J. ⚽, Alli M. (A),
- 60', Swift J. 🟨,
- 60', Watson T. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 2, De Norre C. ⚽, Langstaff M. (A),
- 67', 1 - 3, Pack M. ⚽,
- 70', Swift J. ↓, Segecic A. ↑,
- 75', Crama T. 🟨,
- 80', Crama T. ↓, Leonard R. ↑,
- 80', Doughty A. ↓, Sturge Z. ↑,
- 81', Azeez F. ↓, Ballo T. ↑,
- 81', De Norre C. ↓, Bannan B. ↑,
- 85', Caballero G. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
- 90+2', Alli M. ↓, Bowat I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Millwall
51.2% | Draw
26.6% | Portsmouth
22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Millwall - Portsmouth Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↑
(1.72) |
3.57 ↓
(3.73) |
4.22 ↓
(4.81) |
5.8%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Millwall - Portsmouth?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Millwall will win
(17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Millwall will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 4.
- Millwall is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Portsmouth's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Millwall may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Millwall is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Millwall: Bryan J.
(Injury)
Jensen L.
(Muscle Injury)
Kelly D.
(Injury)
Luongo M.
(Knee Injury)
Smallbone W.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Portsmouth: Alese A.
(Muscle Injury)
Anderson K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Bianchini F.
(Knee Injury)
Blair H.
(Hip Injury)
Chaplin C.
(Groin Injury)
Dozzell A.
(Ankle Injury)
Knight J.
(Back Injury)
Kosznovszky M.
(Knee Injury)
Matthews H.
(Ankle Injury)
Murphy J.
(Foot Injury)
Shaughnessy C.
(Thigh Injury)
Umeh F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Waddingham T.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Portsmouth?
Millwall has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portsmouth won against Millwall?
Portsmouth has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Portsmouth were as follows:
22.11.2025
Portsmouth
-
Millwall
3:1
05.04.2025
Millwall
-
Portsmouth
2:1
28.01.2025
Portsmouth
-
Millwall
0:1
13.08.2024
Portsmouth
-
Millwall
0:1
Latest results of Millwall
Latest results of Portsmouth
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 59:34 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Hull | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
