Portsmouth vs Southampton – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
25/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 29
  • Referee: Smith L. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.661.11
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
34
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
42
Passes
68% (251/369)60% (188/314)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
1.661.11
xG on target (xGOT)
1.001.17
Total shots
146
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
61
Blocked shots
51
Shots inside the box
84
Shots outside the box
62
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
319
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
01
Free kicks
149
Passes
68% (251/369)60% (188/314)
Long passes
32% (24/74)24% (18/76)
Passes in final third
44% (49/112)51% (49/97)
Crosses
24% (5/21)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.660.55
Throw ins
3023
Fouls
914
Tackles
83% (10/12)50% (13/26)
Duels won
6861
Clearances
2741
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
31
xGOT faced
1.171.00
Goals prevented
0.170.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', 0 - 1, Scienza L. , Azaz F. (A),
  • 63', Matsuki K. , Fellows T. ,
  • 63', Azaz F. , Charles S. ,
  • 66', Bowat I. , Williams J. ,
  • 67', Scienza L. , Robinson J. ,
  • 68', Armstrong A. , Stewart R. ,
  • 70', Downes F. 🟨,
  • 70', Swanson Z. 🟨,
  • 71', Chaplin C. , Anderson K. ,
  • 71', Dozzell A. , Pack M. ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Adams E. ,
  • 82', Adams E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Portsmouth
27.9%
Draw
26.9%
Southampton
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.1% 25.7% 49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5% 26.3% 50.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Southampton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Portsmouth - Southampton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.43
    (3.76)
    3.52
    (3.68)
    2.1
    (1.92)
    5.2%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Portsmouth - Southampton?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 14 - 60.9%). S`hampton will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Portsmouth: 41%80.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Portsmouth (1.68) (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - S`hampton (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Portsmouth will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 4 - 50%). S`hampton (votes: 4 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 15).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • S`hampton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • S`hampton will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Portsmouth: Blair H. (Injury) Knight J. (Back Injury) Kosznovszky M. (Injury) Matthews H. (Ankle Injury) Umeh F. (Hamstring Injury) Waddingham T. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in S`hampton: Edozie S. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Portsmouth: Lang C. (Inactive) Murphy J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in S`hampton: Roerslev Rasmussen M. (Knee Injury) Romeu O. (Inactive)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Portsmouth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portsmouth - Southampton were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Southampton - Portsmouth 0:0
    Latest results of Portsmouth
    Latest results of Southampton
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry ✔ 452711793:454892
    2Ipswich452215877:473081
    3Millwall4523111162:491380
    4Middlesbrough4522131070:452579
    5Southampton ✔ 4521141079:552477
    6Wrexham4519131367:63470
    7Hull4520101568:65370
    8Derby452091666:57969
    9Norwich451981862:54865
    10Birmingham4517121656:55163
    11Swansea4517101854:58-461
    12Preston4515151554:59-560
    13Bristol City4516111857:59-259
    14QPR4516101961:70-958
    15Sheffield Utd451762264:65-157
    16Watford4514151653:61-857
    17Stoke4515102051:54-355
    18Portsmouth4514121948:63-1554
    19Charlton4513141843:55-1253
    20Blackburn4513131942:55-1352
    21West Brom4513141847:56-951
    22Oxford Utd ✔ 4511142045:57-1247
    23Leicester ✔ 4511161857:68-1143
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 451123227:88-61-3

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Coventry is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Premier League
    Southampton is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Oxford Utd is Relegated to League One
    Leicester is Relegated to League One
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One