Atalanta vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Football UEFA Champions League Atalanta - Real Madrid
Result
2:3
10/12/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, Fox Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Max, SBT, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6
denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceCanal+ Live 3
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandStod 2 Sport 3, Viaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Arena
japanJapanWowow Prime
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 2
mexicoMexicoHBO Max, MAX, TNT Sports
montenegroMontenegroArena Premium 1
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand, TVWan
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaArena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN 2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
slovakiaSlovakiaKanal A, Voyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdombeIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, Virgin Media More
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, Virgin TV Go app

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.941.57
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
2010
Shots on Goal
96
Shots off Goal
73
Blocked Shots
41
Big Chances
27
Corner Kicks
52
Shots inside the Box
137
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
37
Free Kicks
1315
Offsides
20
Fouls
1513
Yellow Cards
12
Throw-ins
1612
Touches in the Opposition Box
2813
Passes
89% (508/568)85% (399/470)
Passes in the final third
86% (175/203)71% (69/97)
Crosses
19% (5/27)0% (0/2)
Tackles
25% (3/12)67% (10/15)
Clearances Total
1220
Interceptions
1013

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Mbappe K. ⚽, Diaz B. (A),
  • 36', Mbappe K. ↓, Rodrygo ↑,
  • 45+2', Tchouameni A. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, De Ketelaere C. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 56', 1 - 2, Vinicius Junior ⚽,
  • 58', Pasalic M. ↓, Samardzic L. ↑,
  • 59', 1 - 3, Bellingham J. ⚽, Vinicius Junior (A),
  • 65', 2 - 3, Lookman A. ⚽, Samardzic L. (A),
  • 74', Djimsiti B. ↓, Kossounou O. ↑,
  • 74', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Retegui M. ↑,
  • 75', Bellanova R. ↓, Zappacosta D. ↑,
  • 84', Ceballos D. ↓, Modric L. ↑,
  • 84', Diaz B. ↓, Asencio R. ↑,
  • 87', Bellingham J. ↓, Guler A. ↑,
  • 87', Ruggeri M. ↓, Zaniolo N. ↑,
  • 90+2', Kossounou O. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Lucas 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atalanta
36.6%		Draw
26.7%		Real Madrid
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.3% 26.3% 38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9% 27.4% 40%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
    •

    Atalanta - Real Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.65 ↓
    (2.71)    		 3.62 ↓
    (3.64)    		 2.64 ↑
    (2.49)    		 3.4%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : UniMás
    •
    What is the prediction for Atalanta - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 119 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 40 - 33.6%). Real will win (votes: 51 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 28 - 23.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 34% – 51.8%. The data is statistically significant.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Atalanta in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Real is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Real have a series of guest games.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Atalanta: Cuadrado J. (Muscle Injury) Scalvini G. (Shoulder Injury) Scamacca G. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Knee Injury) Camavinga E. (Thigh Injury) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Mendy F. (Muscle Injury) Militao E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atalanta: Zappacosta D. (Calf Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.3:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Atalanta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Real Madrid were as follows:
    14.08.2024 Real Madrid - Atalanta 2:0
    Latest results of Atalanta
    06.12.2024 Atalanta - Milan 2:1 ✺
    02.12.2024 Roma - Atalanta 0:2 ✺
    26.11.2024 Young Boys - Atalanta 1:6 ✺
    23.11.2024 Parma - Atalanta 1:3 ✺
    10.11.2024 Atalanta - Udinese 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    07.12.2024 Girona - Real Madrid 0:3 ✺
    04.12.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Real Madrid 2:1 ✺
    01.12.2024 Real Madrid - Getafe 2:0 ✺
    27.11.2024 Liverpool - Real Madrid 2:0 ✺
    24.11.2024 Leganés - Real Madrid 0:3 ✺
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Royale Union SG11003:123
    2Arsenal11002:023
    3Qarabag11003:213
    4Real Madrid11002:113
    5Tottenham11001:013
    6Dortmund10104:401
    7Juventus10104:401
    8Chelsea00000:000
    9Liverpool00000:000
    10Manchester City00000:000
    11Newcastle00000:000
    12Monaco00000:000
    13PSG00000:000
    14Napoli00000:000
    15Slavia Prague00000:000
    16Club Brugge KV00000:000
    17Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    18Bayern Munich00000:000
    19Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    20Inter00000:000
    21Atalanta00000:000
    22Ajax00000:000
    23Barcelona00000:000
    24Atl. Madrid00000:000
    25Pafos00000:000
    26FC Copenhagen00000:000
    27Olympiacos Piraeus00000:000
    28Bodo/Glimt00000:000
    29Sporting CP00000:000
    30Galatasaray00000:000
    31Kairat Almaty00000:000
    32Benfica10012:3-10
    33Marseille10011:2-10
    34Villarreal10010:1-10
    35PSV10011:3-20
    36Ath Bilbao10010:2-20

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