Result
4:0
25/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 22
- Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
 Angola | Z Sports 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Kuwait | Shasha |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2 |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 3 |
 Tunisia | Diwan Sport |
 Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1 |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360, VTVcab |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.07 | 1.38 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (365/429) | 82% (372/452) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.07 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.87 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 45 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (365/429) | 82% (372/452) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (26/49) | 38% (18/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (94/113) | 58% (68/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 27% (7/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 1.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 3.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.94 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Scamacca G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 24', 2 - 0, De Roon M. ⚽, De Ketelaere C. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Benedyczak A. ↓, Pellegrino M. ↑,
- 46', Circati A. ↓, Valeri E. ↑,
- 46', Estevez N. ↓, Oristanio G. ↑,
- 46', Djimsiti B. ↓, Hien I. ↑,
- 53', Scamacca G. 🟨,
- 60', Scamacca G. ↓, Krstovic N. ↑,
- 60', Zalewski N. ↓, Bernasconi L. ↑,
- 64', Sorensen O. ↓, Ondrejka J. ↑,
- 72', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
- 73', 3 - 0, Raspadori G. ⚽, Krstovic N. (A),
- 78', De Roon M. ↓, Lookman A. ↑,
- 85', Keita M. ↓, Ordonez C. ↑,
- 90+2', 4 - 0, Krstovic N. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Atalanta
67.8% | Draw
20.1% | Parma
12.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+2.5%)The ML Model estimate for Parma aligns with the current prediction.
Atalanta - Parma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41
(1.41) |
4.78 ↓
(4.79) |
7.86 ↑
(7.56) |
4.5%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Atalanta - Parma?
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 24 - 72.7%). Parma will win (votes: 5 - 15.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 57.5% – 87.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.5 - Parma (6.35) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Atalanta (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Atalanta (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atalanta will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Parma (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 2.
- Atalanta is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Parma has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Parma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Atalanta is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Atalanta: Bakker M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Parma: Frigan M.
(Knee Injury)
Ndiaye A.
(Groin Injury)
Suzuki Z.
(Finger Injury)
- There are questionable in Atalanta: Bellanova R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Parma: Almqvist P.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:25. (average 2.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atalanta won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 2.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atalanta won against Parma?
Atalanta has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Parma won against Atalanta?
Parma has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Parma were as follows:
30.08.2025
Parma
-
Atalanta
1:1
25.05.2025
Atalanta
-
Parma
2:3
23.11.2024
Parma
-
Atalanta
1:3
04.08.2024
Parma
-
Atalanta
4:1
Latest results of Atalanta
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter ✔ | 35 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 82:31 | 51 | 82 |
| 2 | Napoli | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 52:33 | 19 | 70 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 35 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 48:29 | 19 | 67 |
| 4 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 58:30 | 28 | 65 |
| 5 | Como | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59:28 | 31 | 62 |
| 6 | AS Roma | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 48:29 | 19 | 61 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 47:32 | 15 | 55 |
| 8 | Bologna | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 42:41 | 1 | 49 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 43:44 | -1 | 49 |
| 10 | Lazio | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:33 | 4 | 48 |
| 11 | Udinese | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 43:46 | -3 | 47 |
| 12 | Parma | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 25:42 | -17 | 42 |
| 13 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 39:58 | -19 | 41 |
| 14 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 40:48 | -8 | 40 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 36:49 | -13 | 37 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 38:45 | -7 | 37 |
| 17 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 24:47 | -23 | 32 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 26:51 | -25 | 28 |
| 19 | Verona ✔ | 35 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 24:57 | -33 | 20 |
| 20 | Pisa ✔ | 35 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 25:63 | -38 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
Verona is Relegated to Serie B
Pisa is Relegated to Serie B
