Málaga vs Ferrol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
22/03/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 32
  • Referee: Cid G. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
spainSpainDAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga TV Bar 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.880.90
Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
813
Shots on Goal
61
Shots off Goal
26
Blocked Shots
06
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
22
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
05
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Free Kicks
1215
Offsides
36
Fouls
1512
Yellow Cards
32
Throw-ins
2528
Touches in the Opposition Box
1815
Passes
81% (342/424)82% (315/384)
Passes in the final third
63% (67/107)74% (72/97)
Crosses
14% (1/7)37% (7/19)
Tackles
59% (10/17)67% (12/18)
Clearances Total
2516
Interceptions
107

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Lobete J. , Medina K. (A),
  • 12', Juanpe 🟨,
  • 21', Manzanara F. 🟨,
  • 39', 2 - 0, Larrubia D. , Lobete J. (A),
  • 44', Gabilondo J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Gabilondo J. , Puga C. ,
  • 46', Juanpe , Molina M. ,
  • 61', Medina K. , Rahmani Y. ,
  • 67', Bunuel A. , Nacho ,
  • 67', Pena H. , Correa R. ,
  • 70', Dioni , Chupe ,
  • 79', Manzanara F. , Borrego C. ,
  • 82', Sanz A. 🟨,
  • 83', Lobete J. , Sangalli L. ,
  • 85', Puga C. 🟨,
  • 86', Gimenez A. , Jauregi E. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/y8bzn9ey

Chances of winning


Málaga
53.2%
Draw
29.1%
Ferrol
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 28.5% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7% 27.7% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Málaga - Ferrol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.89)
    3.23
    (3.34)
    5.3
    (4.49)
    6.2%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Málaga - Ferrol?
  • Users Predictions: Málaga will win (25 of 27 users predict this - 92.59%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.71%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent matches Málaga is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Ferrol has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Málaga is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H. (Hamstring Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Merino I. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Ferrol: Cabaco E. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Málaga: Lorenzo D. (Hip Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Málaga won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga - Ferrol were as follows:
    17.08.2024 Ferrol - Málaga 2:2
    Latest results of Málaga
    09.03.2025 Málaga - Cádiz 0:2
    01.03.2025 Almería - Málaga 2:2
    21.02.2025 Málaga - Tenerife 1:0
    15.02.2025 Cartagena - Málaga 0:1
    Latest results of Ferrol
    15.03.2025 Ferrol - Eibar 0:0
    09.03.2025 Granada - Ferrol 3:0
    05.03.2025 Ferrol - Burgos 0:1
    01.03.2025 Huesca - Ferrol 3:1
    22.02.2025 Ferrol - Córdoba 0:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander28165756:362053
    2Castellon28147746:291749
    3Almeria28147753:401349
    4Dep. La Coruna28147744:311349
    5Malaga28145941:311047
    6Las Palmas281112534:221245
    7Ceuta281351036:39-344
    8Burgos CF28127930:26443
    9Gijon281261038:36242
    10Cordoba28118938:37141
    11Eibar281081031:30138
    12Andorra28981135:40-535
    13Albacete28981133:39-635
    14Cadiz CF28981129:35-635
    15Leganes288101029:28134
    16Real Sociedad B28971238:39-134
    17Granada CF287111032:33-132
    18Valladolid28881229:38-932
    19Huesca28861426:37-1130
    20Cultural Leonesa28761527:44-1727
    21Mirandes28661628:45-1724
    22Zaragoza28591423:41-1824

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