Cartagena vs Málaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
15/02/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 27
  • Referee: Muresan S. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
spainSpainDAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.550.83
Ball Possession
33%67%
Goal Attempts
1015
Shots on Goal
37
Shots off Goal
46
Blocked Shots
32
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
65
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
Free Kicks
1117
Offsides
02
Fouls
1711
Yellow Cards
44
Throw-ins
1916
Touches in the Opposition Box
1924
Passes
68% (195/287)88% (531/601)
Passes in the final third
47% (36/77)78% (127/162)
Crosses
40% (6/15)16% (3/19)
Tackles
58% (11/19)78% (7/9)
Clearances Total
2516
Interceptions
96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Larrubia D. 🟨,
  • 29', Moreno J. 🟨,
  • 35', Merino I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Merino I. , Enriquez R. ,
  • 46', Lobete J. , Ochoa A. ,
  • 61', Escriche D. , Luna D. ,
  • 61', Dioni , Medina K. ,
  • 69', Andy , Machin J. ,
  • 69', Clemente O. , Delmas J. ,
  • 75', Larrubia D. , Baturina R. ,
  • 82', Moreno J. , Mini ,
  • 82', Millan A. , El Jebari S. ,
  • 87', Molina M. 🟨,
  • 89', Chupe , Cordero A. ,
  • 90+1', Enriquez R. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Mini 🟨,
  • 90+4', 0 - 1, Baturina R. ,
  • 90+5', 🟨,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yeyserke

Chances of winning


Cartagena
32.8%
Draw
32%
Málaga
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.2% 30.5% 43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3% 26.4% 37.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cartagena's performance.
  • Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Málaga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Cartagena - Málaga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.87
    (3.54)
    2.91
    (3.05)
    2.66
    (2.15)
    6.9%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Cartagena - Málaga?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cartagena will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Málaga will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 16).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 2.
    • Cartagena has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Málaga is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Málaga will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Cartagena: Munoz L. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H. (Hamstring Injury) Lorenzo D. (Hip Injury) Monte N. (Injury) Puga C. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Málaga: Luismi (Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.3:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cartagena won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cartagena - Málaga were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Málaga - Cartagena 1:0
    16.04.2023 Málaga - Cartagena 1:0
    03.11.2022 Cartagena - Málaga 2:1
    Latest results of Cartagena
    09.02.2025 Cádiz - Cartagena 5:2
    02.02.2025 Cartagena - Córdoba 0:1
    25.01.2025 Huesca - Cartagena 4:0
    17.01.2025 Cartagena - Real Oviedo 0:1
    11.01.2025 Ferrol - Cartagena 0:0
    Latest results of Málaga
    08.02.2025 Málaga - Levante 1:1
    01.02.2025 Racing Santander - Málaga 2:1
    26.01.2025 Málaga - Zaragoza 1:2
    20.01.2025 Mirandés - Málaga 3:2
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander382261079:572272
    2Dep. La Coruna381911859:411868
    3Almeria372071074:561867
    4Las Palmas381812851:321966
    5Castellon3818101065:481764
    6Malaga381891166:491763
    7Burgos CF3817111044:331162
    8Eibar3817101147:361161
    9Cordoba381691354:56-257
    10Andorra3815101356:48855
    11Ceuta381591446:58-1254
    12Gijon381571651:49252
    13Albacete3813111449:51-250
    14Granada CF3812121448:49-148
    15Valladolid3811101741:50-943
    16Leganes3810121641:46-542
    17Real Sociedad B381191846:54-842
    18Cadiz CF381091936:55-1939
    19Mirandes37991940:60-2036
    20Huesca38992039:59-2036
    21Zaragoza388111933:51-1835
    22Cultural Leonesa38892135:62-2733

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