Almería vs Racing Santander – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2
Result
2:3
07/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4, Arena Sport 5
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandMTV Urheilu 3, Viaplay 3 Urheilu
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3, Sooka
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar, Orange Futbol 2
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.59
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
57
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
82% (326/398)87% (473/541)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.59
xG on target (xGOT)
1.320.90
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2017
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
44
Free Kicks
1715
Passes
82% (326/398)87% (473/541)
Long passes
43% (29/68)52% (14/27)
Passes in final third
74% (73/99)77% (109/142)
Crosses
38% (5/13)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.890.63
Throw-ins
129
Fouls
1518
Tackles
60% (15/25)75% (12/16)
Duels won
5252
Clearances
1716
Interceptions
1210
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.901.32
Goals prevented
-2.10-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Embarba A. ⚽, Arribas S. (A),
  • 19', 2 - 0, Melamed N. ⚽, Leo Baptistao (A),
  • 27', Lopy D. 🟥,
  • 36', Aldasoro A. 🟨,
  • 37', Leo Baptistao 🟨,
  • 45+2', Mantilla A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Melamed N. ↓, Clua S. ↑,
  • 46', Mantilla A. ↓, Michelin C. ↑,
  • 46', Garcia M. ↓, Ramon P. ↑,
  • 46', Aldasoro A. ↓, Jeremy Arevalo ↑,
  • 57', 2 - 1, Jeremy Arevalo ⚽, Vicente I. (A),
  • 59', 2 - 2, Jeremy Arevalo ⚽,
  • 64', Leo Baptistao ↓, Lazaro ↑,
  • 65', Embarba A. ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
  • 65', Luna M. ↓, Chirino D. ↑,
  • 73', Villalibre A. ↓, Santi F. ↑,
  • 74', Baba I. ↓, Centelles A. ↑,
  • 75', 2 - 3, Puerta G. ⚽, Michelin C. (A),
  • 83', Vicente I. 🟨,
  • 84', Vicente I. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
  • 90+1', Munoz A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Chirino D. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4r4eumhj

Chances of winning


Almería
57.1%		Draw
23.3%		Racing Santander
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 23.4% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5% 26.5% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almería, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
    •

    Almería - Racing Santander Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.68 ↓
    (1.7)    		 4.13 ↑
    (4.01)    		 4.88 ↑
    (4.4)    		 4.4%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Almería - Racing Santander?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Racing will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 17.3% – 58.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Almería (votes: 2 - 40%). Racing (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 1.
    • Recent performances by Almería have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Racing is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Racing has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Almería is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Almería: Iribarne B. (Inactive) Monte N. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Racing: Arana J. (Injury) Gueye M. (Injury) Michelin C. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Almería won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Racing Santander were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Almería - Racing Santander 2:0
    18.08.2024 Racing Santander - Almería 2:2
    Latest results of Almería
    29.08.2025 Real Sociedad B - Almería 2:2 ✺
    24.08.2025 Leonesa - Almería 0:1 ✺
    18.08.2025 Almería - Albacete Balompié 4:4 ✺
    10.08.2025 Almería - Al-Nassr Riyadh 3:2 ✺
    08.08.2025 Elche - Almería 1:0
    Latest results of Racing Santander
    30.08.2025 Racing Santander - Ceuta 4:1 ✺
    25.08.2025 Albacete Balompié - Racing Santander 2:3 ✺
    16.08.2025 Racing Santander - Castellón 3:1 ✺
    09.08.2025 Racing Santander - Cagliari 1:1
    09.08.2025 Racing Santander - Cagliari 0:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander28165756:362053
    2Castellon28147746:291749
    3Almeria28147753:401349
    4Dep. La Coruna28147744:311349
    5Malaga28145941:311047
    6Las Palmas281112534:221245
    7Ceuta281351036:39-344
    8Burgos CF28127930:26443
    9Gijon281261038:36242
    10Cordoba28118938:37141
    11Eibar281081031:30138
    12Andorra28981135:40-535
    13Albacete28981133:39-635
    14Cadiz CF28981129:35-635
    15Leganes288101029:28134
    16Real Sociedad B28971238:39-134
    17Granada CF287111032:33-132
    18Valladolid28881229:38-932
    19Huesca28861426:37-1130
    20Cultural Leonesa28761527:44-1727
    21Mirandes28661628:45-1724
    22Zaragoza28591423:41-1824

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