Castres vs Racing Métro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union French Top 14 Castres - Racing Métro
Result
20:16
04/10/2025 at 10:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Top 14 - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 6

Match Stats

Tries
21
Conversion Goals
21
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
23
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (6 - 6)
  • 3', Guilhot L. (Penalty Goal),
  • 15', Spring M. (Penalty Goal),
  • 30', Gibert A. (Penalty Goal),
  • 38', Guilhot L. (Penalty Goal),
  • 2nd Half (14 - 10)
  • 45', Gibert A. (Penalty Goal),
  • 49', Habosi V. (Try),
  • 49', Gibert A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 73', Colonna P. (Try),
  • 73', Mouandjo A. H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 80+2', Papalii A. (Try),
  • 80+2', Mouandjo A. H. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Castres
68.3%
Draw
4%
Racing Métro
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.4% 4.7% 25.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Racing Métro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Castres - Racing Métro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.32)
    22.57
    (19.5)
    3.28
    (3.53)
    9.7%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 48.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
    What is the prediction for Castres - Racing Métro?
  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Castres will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 28:21.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castres won 2.
    • In this match, Castres is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Castres won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 381:459. (average 19.1:23).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Castres won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 178:171. (average 19.8:19).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Castres - Racing Métro were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Racing Métro - Castres 20:27
    07.09.2024 Castres - Racing Métro 31:28
    23.03.2024 Castres - Racing Métro 21:23
    06.01.2024 Racing Métro - Castres 34:30
    31.12.2022 Castres - Racing Métro 26:26
    Latest results of Castres
    27.09.2025 Toulouse - Castres 59:12
    20.09.2025 Castres - Aviron Bayonnais 48:17
    13.09.2025 Toulon - Castres 16:12
    06.09.2025 Castres - Section Paloise 15:17
    14.06.2025 Toulon - Castres 52:23
    Latest results of Racing Métro
    27.09.2025 Racing Métro - Clermont 43:31
    20.09.2025 Perpignan - Racing Métro 15:28
    06.09.2025 Lyon - Racing Métro 32:7
    07.06.2025 Lyon - Racing Métro 34:47
    French Top 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Aviron Bayonnais5401144:14816
    2Stade Francais Paris5302150:11815
    3Bordeaux Begles5302165:13414
    4Stade Toulousain5302164:13314
    5RC Toulonnais4301108:8114
    6Section Paloise5302135:12314
    7Montpellier5212143:10213
    8Racing 925302138:13013
    9Lyon5302134:13413
    10Castres Olympique5203107:12511
    11Stade Rochelais420296:8410
    12Clermont5203205:16910
    13Montauban5014119:2492
    14USA Perpignan500566:1440

          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Top 14 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro D2