Result
1:3
15/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', Di Bitonto A. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 1, Gori G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 55', 0 - 2, Gori G. ⚽,
- 57', D'Uffizi S. ↓, Oviszach E. ↑,
- 58', Rosaia G. ↓, Di Massimo A. ↑,
- 59', Podda L. ↓, Djankpata H. ↑,
- 61', 0 - 3, Oviszach E. ⚽,
- 64', 1 - 3, Di Massimo A. ⚽,
- 68', Ghirardello T. ↓, La Mantia A. ↑,
- 68', Murru N. ↓, Zallu F. ↑,
- 72', Milanese T. ↓, Corradini G. ↑,
- 72', Gori G. ↓, Chakir M. A. ↑,
- 72', Silipo A. ↓, Pagliai G. ↑,
- 77', Nicoletti M. 🟨,
- 83', Varone I. ↓, Mastropietro F. ↑,
- 83', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Ndoj E. ↑,
- 90+4', Guiebre A. 🟨,
- 90+6', Chakir M. A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gubbio
19.8% | Draw
30.5% | Ascoli
49.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Gubbio - Ascoli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.61 ↑
(4.03) |
3 ↑
(2.99) |
1.84 ↓
(1.96) |
9.4%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gubbio won 0.
- Gubbio is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ascoli is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Ascoli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ascoli is the team to beat.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gubbio won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gubbio won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Gubbio won against Ascoli?
Gubbio has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ascoli won against Gubbio?
Ascoli has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gubbio - Ascoli were as follows:
07.11.2025
Ascoli
-
Gubbio
1:1
05.04.2025
Gubbio
-
Ascoli
0:0
24.11.2024
Ascoli
-
Gubbio
1:0
11.08.2024
Ascoli
-
Gubbio
2:1
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 57:22 | 35 | 74 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 62:22 | 40 | 74 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 49:30 | 19 | 70 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:37 | 10 | 53 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 44:41 | 3 | 51 |
| 6 | Pineto | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41:39 | 2 | 50 |
| 7 | Vis Pesaro | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | Pianese | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 46 |
| 9 | Ternana | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41:36 | 5 | 45 |
| 10 | Gubbio | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 44 |
| 11 | Livorno | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 37:51 | -14 | 40 |
| 12 | Guidonia | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 28:32 | -4 | 38 |
| 13 | Carpi | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:45 | -13 | 37 |
| 14 | Perugia | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Forli | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 39:51 | -12 | 36 |
| 16 | Torres | 34 | 6 | 17 | 11 | 31:42 | -11 | 35 |
| 17 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 25:34 | -9 | 31 |
| 18 | Bra | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 34:50 | -16 | 31 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 34 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 26:58 | -32 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
