Result
0:1
04/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, RaiPlay, RAI Sport, RAI Sport+, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', Guiebre A. 🟨,
- 58', Semprini M. ↓, Eusepi U. ↑,
- 62', Galuppini F. ↓, Silipo A. ↑,
- 66', Dalmazzi A. 🟨,
- 66', D'Uffizi S. 🟨,
- 75', Gori G. ↓, Chakir M. A. ↑,
- 76', Guiebre A. ↓, Pagliai G. ↑,
- 78', Dalmazzi A. 🟥,
- 78', 🟨,
- 82', Maspero A. ↓, Lulli L. ↑,
- 82', Stoppa M. ↓, Toure M. ↑,
- 82', Marranzino P. ↓, Zoboletti A. ↑,
- 88', Corradini G. ↓, Milanese T. ↑,
- 88', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Corazza S. ↑,
- 89', 0 - 1, Corazza S. ⚽,
- 90+1', Corazza S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sambenedettese
21.5% | Draw
29.4% | Ascoli
49.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-4%)
Sambenedettese - Ascoli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.27 ↑
(3.6) |
3.13 ↑
(3.1) |
1.87 ↓
(2.05) |
8.7%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sambenedettese - Ascoli?
Users Predictions:
Ascoli will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ascoli will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).
- Sambenedettese is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Ascoli is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Ascoli is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sambenedettese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Sambenedettese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Sambenedettese won against Ascoli?
Sambenedettese has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ascoli won against Sambenedettese?
Ascoli has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sambenedettese - Ascoli were as follows:
29.10.2025
Sambenedettese
-
Ascoli
2:1
26.10.2025
Ascoli
-
Sambenedettese
1:0
Latest results of Sambenedettese
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 57:22 | 35 | 74 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 62:22 | 40 | 74 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 49:30 | 19 | 70 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:37 | 10 | 53 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 44:41 | 3 | 51 |
| 6 | Pineto | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41:39 | 2 | 50 |
| 7 | Vis Pesaro | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | Pianese | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 46 |
| 9 | Ternana | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41:36 | 5 | 45 |
| 10 | Gubbio | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 44 |
| 11 | Livorno | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 37:51 | -14 | 40 |
| 12 | Guidonia | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 28:32 | -4 | 38 |
| 13 | Carpi | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:45 | -13 | 37 |
| 14 | Perugia | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Forli | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 39:51 | -12 | 36 |
| 16 | Torres | 34 | 6 | 17 | 11 | 31:42 | -11 | 35 |
| 17 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 25:34 | -9 | 31 |
| 18 | Bra | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 34:50 | -16 | 31 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 34 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 26:58 | -32 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
