Result
0:1
04/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, RaiPlay, RAI Sport, RAI Sport+, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', Guiebre A. 🟨,
- 58', Semprini M. ↓, Eusepi U. ↑,
- 62', Galuppini F. ↓, Silipo A. ↑,
- 66', Dalmazzi A. 🟨,
- 66', D'Uffizi S. 🟨,
- 75', Gori G. ↓, Chakir M. A. ↑,
- 76', Guiebre A. ↓, Pagliai G. ↑,
- 78', Dalmazzi A. 🟥,
- 78', 🟨,
- 82', Maspero A. ↓, Lulli L. ↑,
- 82', Stoppa M. ↓, Toure M. ↑,
- 82', Marranzino P. ↓, Zoboletti A. ↑,
- 88', Corradini G. ↓, Milanese T. ↑,
- 88', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Corazza S. ↑,
- 89', 0 - 1, Corazza S. ⚽,
- 90+1', Corazza S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sambenedettese
21.5% | Draw
29.4% | Ascoli
49.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-4%)
Sambenedettese - Ascoli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.27 ↑
(3.6) |
3.13 ↑
(3.1) |
1.87 ↓
(2.05) |
8.7%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sambenedettese - Ascoli?
Users Predictions:
Ascoli will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ascoli will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).
- Sambenedettese is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Ascoli is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Ascoli is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sambenedettese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Sambenedettese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Sambenedettese won against Ascoli?
Sambenedettese has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ascoli won against Sambenedettese?
Ascoli has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sambenedettese - Ascoli were as follows:
29.10.2025
Sambenedettese
-
Ascoli
2:1
26.10.2025
Ascoli
-
Sambenedettese
1:0
Latest results of Sambenedettese
Italian Serie C Group B Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 36 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 64:24 | 40 | 80 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 63:23 | 40 | 77 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 50:30 | 20 | 73 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 49:37 | 12 | 59 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 46:43 | 3 | 53 |
| 6 | Pianese | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 37:34 | 3 | 50 |
| 7 | Pineto | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 50 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 48 |
| 9 | Ternana | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 44:40 | 4 | 48 |
| 10 | Vis Pesaro | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 38:36 | 2 | 46 |
| 11 | Livorno | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 39:51 | -12 | 43 |
| 12 | Forli | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 41:52 | -11 | 40 |
| 13 | Carpi | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 40 |
| 14 | Perugia | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 38:44 | -6 | 38 |
| 15 | Guidonia | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 30:36 | -6 | 38 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 30:37 | -7 | 37 |
| 17 | Torres | 36 | 6 | 18 | 12 | 32:45 | -13 | 36 |
| 18 | Bra | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 37:54 | -17 | 32 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 36 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 27:62 | -35 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
