Ajax vs NAC Breda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Johan Cruijff Arena (Amsterdam).

Eredivisie - Round 7
Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Australia	ESPN 2, ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Canada	Sportsnet World
Croatia	SportKlub 1
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	Nova Sports 6
India	Eurosport, JioTV app
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV
Kenya	Gotv
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
South-america	ESPN 4 South
Spain	GolStadium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	S Sport+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Triller TV+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.77	1.58
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
12	17
Shots on target
7	7
Big Chances
4	3
Corner Kicks
2	7
Passes
82% (372/451)	80% (344/430)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77	1.58
xG on target (xGOT)
2.62	1.34
Total shots
12	17
Shots on target
7	7
Shots off target
3	6
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
10	14
Shots outside the Box
2	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
4	3
Corner Kicks
2	7
Touches in opposition box
25	31
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
14	11
Passes
82% (372/451)	80% (344/430)
Long passes
52% (23/44)	38% (19/50)
Passes in final third
71% (70/98)	64% (94/147)
Crosses
29% (2/7)	21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.19	0.74
Throw-ins
12	23
Fouls
11	14
Tackles
68% (13/19)	65% (11/17)
Duels won
56	49
Clearances
42	16
Interceptions
4	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	4
xGOT faced
1.34	2.62
Goals prevented
0.34	0.62

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Gloukh O. ⚽, Godts M. (A),
16', 1 - 1, van Hooijdonk S. (Pen),
39', Hillen R. 🟨,
40', Itakura K. 🟨,
41', Nassoh M. 🟨,
45+3', Edvardsen O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Konadu D. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,
46', Edvardsen O. ↓, Moro R. ↑,
46', 2 - 1, Taylor K. ⚽,
64', Balard M. 🟨,
71', Balard M. 🟨,
74', Talvitie J. ↓, Brym C. ↑,
76', Godts M. ↓, Berghuis S. ↑,
81', Holtby L. ↓, Leemans C. ↑,
82', Lucassen B. ↓, Valerius C. ↑,
82', Nassoh M. ↓, Paula R. ↑,
84', Gloukh O. ↓, Weghorst W. ↑,
84', Klaassen D. ↓, Fitz-Jim K. ↑,
88', Sowah K. ↓, Versluis D. ↑,

Chances of winning

Ajax
80.7%

Draw
13.3%

NAC Breda
6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.8%

11%

6.2%

Ajax - NAC Breda Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↑ (1.13)	7.59 ↓ (8.5)	17.53 ↑ (15)	2.1% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Ajax - NAC Breda?

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 48.7% – 87.7%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Breda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Ajax is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Ajax: Dolberg K. (Abdominal strain) Weghorst W. (Back Injury) van den Boomen B. (Back Injury)
There will not play in Breda: Soumano M. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Ajax: Wijndal O. (Injury)
There are questionable in Breda: Greiml L. (Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 41:6. (average 3.2:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:2. (average 3.3:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against NAC Breda?

Ajax has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against Ajax?

NAC Breda has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - NAC Breda were as follows:

06.04.2025 Ajax - NAC Breda 3:1

18.08.2024 NAC Breda - Ajax 2:1

Latest results of Ajax

21.09.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Ajax 2:2 ✺

17.09.2025 Ajax - Inter Milan 0:2 ✺

13.09.2025 Ajax - Zwolle 3:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Volendam - Ajax 1:1 ✺

24.08.2025 Ajax - Heracles Almelo 2:0 ✺

Latest results of NAC Breda

20.09.2025 NAC Breda - Heracles Almelo 2:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Twente - NAC Breda 2:2 ✺

31.08.2025 NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar 0:1 ✺

24.08.2025 NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda 3:0 ✺

17.08.2025 NAC Breda - Fortuna Sittard 2:1 ✺

Dutch Eredivisie Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	PSV	18	16	1	1	57:22	35	49
2	Feyenoord	18	11	3	4	44:23	21	36
3	Ajax	18	9	6	3	35:24	11	33
4	Nijmegen	17	8	5	4	43:29	14	29
5	AZ Alkmaar	17	8	4	5	32:28	4	28
6	Groningen	18	8	4	6	25:22	3	28
7	Twente	18	6	8	4	27:22	5	26
8	Sparta Rotterdam	18	8	2	8	20:31	-11	26
9	Heerenveen	18	6	6	6	31:28	3	24
10	Utrecht	17	6	5	6	28:23	5	23
11	Sittard	18	6	4	8	27:31	-4	22
12	G.A. Eagles	18	4	8	6	28:31	-3	20
13	Zwolle	18	5	5	8	22:39	-17	20
14	Excelsior	17	6	1	10	17:32	-15	19
15	Telstar	18	3	6	9	22:30	-8	15
16	NAC Breda	18	3	5	10	16:26	-10	14
17	FC Volendam	18	3	5	10	19:32	-13	14
18	Heracles	18	4	2	12	26:46	-20	14

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
      Eredivisie (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie