Result
2:3
13/09/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Banegas A. 🟨,
- 11', 1 - 0, Delgadillo Y. ⚽,
- 13', Medrano Y. 🟨,
- 18', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
- 21', Kelly K. ↓, Portillo A. ↑,
- 25', Gomez A. 🟨,
- 25', Altamirano C. 🟨,
- 44', Villafranca J. 🟨,
- 45', Delgadillo Y. 🟨,
- 45+1', Monico D. ↓, Matute C. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 48', 1 - 1, Villafranca J. ⚽,
- 52', Lacayo J. (Pen),
- 61', Medrano Y. ↓, Fernandez C. ↑,
- 61', Gomez A. ↓, Guity E. ↑,
- 63', Bernardez C. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
- 63', Portillo A. ↓, Sanders S. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 1, Matute C. ⚽,
- 71', 2 - 2, Lacayo J. ⚽,
- 74', 2 - 3, Quaye W. (Own goal),
- 83', Banegas A. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 87', Villafranca J. ↓, Galindo F. ↑,
- 87', Lacayo J. ↓, Mendoza O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Victoria La Ceiba
53.3% | Draw
25% | Juticalpa
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Victoria La Ceiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Victoria La Ceiba's performance.Juticalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juticalpa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria La Ceiba than the current prediction. (-14.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Victoria La Ceiba that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juticalpa than the current prediction. (+13.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juticalpa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Victoria La Ceiba - Juticalpa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↓
(2.27) |
3.76 ↑
(3.46) |
4.35 ↑
(2.63) |
6.2%
(11%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Victoria La Ceiba - Juticalpa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Juticalpa (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Victoria La Ceiba won 2.
- Victoria La Ceiba is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Juticalpa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Victoria La Ceiba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Victoria La Ceiba is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Victoria La Ceiba won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Victoria La Ceiba won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Victoria La Ceiba won against Juticalpa?
Victoria La Ceiba has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juticalpa won against Victoria La Ceiba?
Juticalpa has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Victoria La Ceiba - Juticalpa were as follows:
08.04.2025
Juticalpa
-
Victoria La Ceiba
1:2
09.02.2025
Victoria La Ceiba
-
Juticalpa
0:1
27.10.2024
Victoria La Ceiba
-
Juticalpa
4:0
17.08.2024
Juticalpa
-
Victoria La Ceiba
1:0
Latest results of Victoria La Ceiba
Latest results of Juticalpa
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marathon | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:6 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Olimpia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 17 |
| 3 | Olancho | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Juticalpa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 5 | Platense | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:9 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Real Espana | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Motagua | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Genesis | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Choloma | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:23 | -15 | 4 |
| 11 | Victoria | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:18 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )
