Result
3:2
05/04/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', Moreira R. 🟨,
- 14', Bernardez C. 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 0, Barrios A. ⚽,
- 20', Banegas A. ↓, Matute C. ↑,
- 28', Bernardez C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 30', Ruiz J. ↓, Gutierrez C. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Moreira R. ↓, Rochez J. ↑,
- 46', Herrlein L. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 46', Portillo A. ↓, Sevilla L. ↑,
- 52', Onofre G. 🟨,
- 61', Onofre G. ↓, Rochez C. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 0, Bernardez C. ⚽,
- 69', Monico D. ↓, Card S. ↑,
- 73', Lahera Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 73', 3 - 0, Lahera Y. ⚽,
- 76', Bernardez C. ↓, Ramirez L. ↑,
- 77', Pena K. ↓, Padilla J. ↑,
- 90', 3 - 1, Rochez J. ⚽,
- 90+2', 3 - 2, Zuniga A. ⚽,
- 90+5', Lopez E. 🟨,
- 90+8', Guity E. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Victoria La Ceiba
42.5% | Draw
27.5% | Lobos UPNFM
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Victoria La Ceiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lobos UPNFM might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria La Ceiba than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Victoria La Ceiba - Lobos UPNFM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↓
(2.4) |
3.3 ↓
(3.4) |
3.02 ↑
(2.6) |
10.3%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Victoria La Ceiba won 0.
- Victoria La Ceiba has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Lobos UPNFM is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Lobos UPNFM may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Victoria La Ceiba won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:19. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Victoria La Ceiba won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 1.3:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Victoria La Ceiba won against Lobos UPNFM?
Victoria La Ceiba has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lobos UPNFM won against Victoria La Ceiba?
Lobos UPNFM has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Victoria La Ceiba - Lobos UPNFM were as follows:
12.02.2026
Lobos UPNFM
-
Victoria La Ceiba
2:2
25.10.2025
Victoria La Ceiba
-
Lobos UPNFM
0:1
16.08.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
Victoria La Ceiba
2:0
02.04.2025
Victoria La Ceiba
-
Lobos UPNFM
0:0
03.02.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
Victoria La Ceiba
1:1
Latest results of Victoria La Ceiba
Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Espana ✔ | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 37:25 | 12 | 40 |
| 2 | Motagua ✔ | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 36:17 | 19 | 39 |
| 3 | Olimpia ✔ | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 35:17 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Olancho | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 28:16 | 12 | 32 |
| 5 | Marathon | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23:19 | 4 | 27 |
| 6 | Genesis | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 20:28 | -8 | 23 |
| 7 | Choloma | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:32 | -9 | 23 |
| 8 | Platense | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
| 9 | UPNFM | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:30 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Juticalpa | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 18:41 | -23 | 18 |
| 11 | Victoria | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 25:40 | -15 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Real Espana is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
Motagua is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
Olimpia is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
