Preston North End vs Birmingham City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Deepdale (Preston).

Championship - Round 11
Referee: Smith L. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.34	0.83
Ball Possession
62%	38%
Total shots
17	9
Shots on target
6	2
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
9	3
Passes
81% (368/453)	73% (212/290)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34	0.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.24	0.79
Total shots
17	9
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
8	5
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
13	6
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
9	3
Touches in opposition box
35	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
14	8
Passes
81% (368/453)	73% (212/290)
Long passes
56% (35/62)	27% (19/70)
Passes in final third
67% (124/184)	49% (31/63)
Crosses
25% (11/44)	31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.92	0.66
Throw-ins
26	26
Fouls
8	14
Tackles
60% (9/15)	50% (8/16)
Duels won
69	42
Clearances
18	52
Interceptions
7	4
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	5
xGOT faced
0.79	1.24
Goals prevented
-0.21	1.24

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Smith M. 🟨,
12', Osayi-Samuel B. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Neumann P. ⚽, Cochrane A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Osayi-Samuel B. ↓, Leonard M. ↑,
54', Koumas L. ↓, Gray D. ↑,
58', Iwata T. 🟨,
63', Leonard M. 🟨,
63', McCann A. ↓, Small T. ↑,
63', Vukcevic A. ↓, Devine A. ↑,
70', Anderson K. ↓, Cashin E. ↑,
70', Doyle T. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
72', Jebbison D. ↓, Osmajic M. ↑,
83', Hughes A. ↓, Dobbin L. ↑,
86', Stansfield J. ↓, Sampsted A. ↑,
90+2', Small T. 🟨,
90+5', Paik Seung-Ho 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Preston North End
22.3%

Draw
32.3%

Birmingham City
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

31.1%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

32.2%

39.9%

Preston North End - Birmingham City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.08 ↑ (3.14)	3.28 ↑ (3.05)	2.28 ↓ (2.46)	-6% (5.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Preston North End - Birmingham City?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Birmingham will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Preston: 19.9% – 64.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Preston (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Preston (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Birmingham (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Preston (votes: 3 - 50%). Birmingham (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 8 and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Preston won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Preston: Brady R. (Calf Injury) Keane W. (Muscle Injury) Potts B. (Muscle Injury) Thompson J. (Ankle Injury) Valentin P. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Ducksch M. (Calf Injury) Laird E. (Hamstring Injury) Robinson J. (Red Card) Willumsson W. T. (Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Preston: Small T. (Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Preston won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Preston won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.2:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Preston North End won against Birmingham City?

Preston North End has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Preston North End?

Birmingham City has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Preston North End - Birmingham City were as follows:

01.04.2024 Birmingham City - Preston North End 1:0

19.09.2023 Preston North End - Birmingham City 2:1

21.01.2023 Birmingham City - Preston North End 1:2

03.09.2022 Preston North End - Birmingham City 0:1

Latest results of Preston North End

18.10.2025 West Bromwich Albion - Preston North End 2:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Preston North End - Charlton Athletic 2:0 ✺

30.09.2025 Hull City - Preston North End 2:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Preston North End - Bristol City 0:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Derby County - Preston North End 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Birmingham City

18.10.2025 Birmingham City - Hull City 2:3 ✺

03.10.2025 Wrexham - Birmingham City 1:1 ✺

30.09.2025 Birmingham City - Sheffield Wednesday 2:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Coventry City - Birmingham City 3:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Birmingham City - Swansea City 1:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	28	17	7	4	61:31	30	58
2	Middlesbrough	28	15	7	6	42:29	13	52
3	Ipswich	27	14	8	5	47:24	23	50
4	Hull	27	14	5	8	45:39	6	47
5	Millwall	28	13	7	8	32:35	-3	46
6	Preston	28	11	10	7	36:29	7	43
7	Watford	27	11	9	7	38:32	6	42
8	Stoke	28	12	5	11	33:25	8	41
9	Wrexham	28	10	11	7	40:35	5	41
10	Derby	28	11	8	9	38:36	2	41
11	Bristol City	28	11	7	10	38:31	7	40
12	QPR	28	11	7	10	38:39	-1	40
13	Birmingham	28	10	8	10	38:37	1	38
14	Leicester	28	10	8	10	39:41	-2	38
15	Southampton	28	9	9	10	40:40	0	36
16	Swansea	28	10	6	12	31:35	-4	36
17	Sheffield Utd	27	10	2	15	36:40	-4	32
18	Charlton	27	8	8	11	27:34	-7	32
19	West Brom	28	9	4	15	31:43	-12	31
20	Norwich	28	8	6	14	35:40	-5	30
21	Portsmouth	26	7	8	11	23:36	-13	29
22	Blackburn	27	7	7	13	25:36	-11	28
23	Oxford Utd	27	5	9	13	25:35	-10	24
24	Sheffield Wed	27	1	8	18	18:54	-36	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One