Result
1:1
17/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 27
- Referee: Nield T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 6 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 3 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Singapore | mio Sports 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Turkey | Exxen |
 United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.02 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (320/412) | 71% (291/411) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (320/412) | 71% (291/411) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (25/66) | 19% (10/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (56/101) | 50% (64/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.20 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 93% (14/15) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.33 | -0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Vipotnik Z. ⚽, Franco G. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Furuhashi K. ↓, Stansfield J. ↑,
- 67', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
- 68', Widell M. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 1, Roberts P. ⚽,
- 77', Eom J. ↓, Inoussa Z. ↑,
- 83', Franco G. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
- 84', Ducksch M. ↓, Willumsson W. T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Swansea City
35.7% | Draw
29.7% | Birmingham City
34.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Swansea City - Birmingham City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↓
(2.89) |
3.18 ↓
(3.23) |
2.75 ↑
(2.43) |
5.6%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Swansea City - Birmingham City?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 11 - 50%). Birmingham will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 29.1% – 70.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Swansea (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Birmingham (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Swansea (votes: 1 - 25%). Birmingham (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 17 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Swansea: Benson M.
(Inactive)
Cullen L.
(Inactive)
Idah A.
(Inactive)
Santos R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L.
(Knee Injury)
Gray D.
(Injury)
Laird E.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Birmingham City?
Swansea City has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Swansea City?
Birmingham City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swansea City - Birmingham City were as follows:
20.09.2025
Birmingham City
-
Swansea City
1:0
13.01.2024
Birmingham City
-
Swansea City
2:2
05.08.2023
Swansea City
-
Birmingham City
1:1
04.02.2023
Swansea City
-
Birmingham City
3:4
08.11.2022
Birmingham City
-
Swansea City
2:2
Latest results of Swansea City
Latest results of Birmingham City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 84:42 | 42 | 85 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 40 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 71:40 | 31 | 75 |
| 3 | Millwall | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 56:47 | 9 | 73 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 62:42 | 20 | 72 |
| 5 | Southampton | 41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 70:50 | 20 | 69 |
| 6 | Hull | 42 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 64:60 | 4 | 68 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 63:60 | 3 | 64 |
| 8 | Derby | 42 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 61:53 | 8 | 63 |
| 9 | Norwich | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 55:50 | 5 | 58 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 52:51 | 1 | 58 |
| 11 | QPR | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 58:63 | -5 | 58 |
| 12 | Watford | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 52:51 | 1 | 57 |
| 13 | Preston | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 50:53 | -3 | 57 |
| 14 | Swansea | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 50:54 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 42 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 51:52 | -1 | 56 |
| 16 | Stoke | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 49:46 | 3 | 55 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 42 | 16 | 6 | 20 | 59:59 | 0 | 54 |
| 18 | Charlton | 42 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 39:51 | -12 | 49 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 38:50 | -12 | 48 |
| 20 | West Brom | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 42:56 | -14 | 46 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 41 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 41:57 | -16 | 45 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 41:54 | -13 | 44 |
| 23 | Leicester | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 54:64 | -10 | 41 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 42 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 25:82 | -57 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
