Swansea City vs Birmingham City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship
Result
1:1
17/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 27
  • Referee: Nield T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongmyTV SUPER
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
japanJapanDAZN Japan
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 3
peruPeruDisney+
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
turkeyTurkeyExxen
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.611.02
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
41
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
55
Passes
78% (320/412)71% (291/411)
Expected goals (xG)
1.611.02
xG on target (xGOT)
0.700.67
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
75
Blocked shots
86
Shots inside the box
1110
Shots outside the box
82
Hit the woodwork
30
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1726
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free kicks
1410
Passes
78% (320/412)71% (291/411)
Long passes
38% (25/66)19% (10/54)
Passes in final third
55% (56/101)50% (64/129)
Crosses
29% (6/21)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.731.20
Throw ins
1631
Fouls
1014
Tackles
93% (14/15)75% (12/16)
Duels won
5645
Clearances
4121
Interceptions
156
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
0.670.70
Goals prevented
-0.33-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Vipotnik Z. ⚽, Franco G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', Furuhashi K. ↓, Stansfield J. ↑,
  • 67', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
  • 68', Widell M. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Roberts P. ⚽,
  • 77', Eom J. ↓, Inoussa Z. ↑,
  • 83', Franco G. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
  • 84', Ducksch M. ↓, Willumsson W. T. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Swansea City
35.7%		Draw
29.7%		Birmingham City
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.4% 29% 38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1% 28.4% 37.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
    •

    Swansea City - Birmingham City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.65 ↓
    (2.89)    		 3.18 ↓
    (3.23)    		 2.75 ↑
    (2.43)    		 5.6%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Swansea City - Birmingham City?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 11 - 50%). Birmingham will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 29.1% – 70.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Swansea (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Birmingham (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Swansea (votes: 1 - 25%). Birmingham (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 17 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Swansea: Benson M. (Inactive) Cullen L. (Inactive) Idah A. (Inactive) Santos R. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Gray D. (Injury) Laird E. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Swansea City - Birmingham City were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Birmingham City - Swansea City 1:0
    13.01.2024 Birmingham City - Swansea City 2:2
    05.08.2023 Swansea City - Birmingham City 1:1
    04.02.2023 Swansea City - Birmingham City 3:4
    08.11.2022 Birmingham City - Swansea City 2:2
    Latest results of Swansea City
    11.01.2026 Swansea City - West Bromwich Albion 2:3 ✺
    04.01.2026 Millwall - Swansea City 2:1 ✺
    01.01.2026 Swansea City - West Bromwich Albion 1:0 ✺
    29.12.2025 Oxford United - Swansea City 0:1 ✺
    26.12.2025 Coventry City - Swansea City 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    10.01.2026 Cambridge United - Birmingham City 2:3 ✺
    04.01.2026 Birmingham City - Coventry City 3:2 ✺
    01.01.2026 Watford - Birmingham City 3:0 ✺
    29.12.2025 Birmingham City - Southampton 1:1 ✺
    26.12.2025 Birmingham City - Derby County 1:1 ✺
    English League Championship Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry462811797:455295
    2Ipswich462315880:473384
    3Millwall4624111164:491583
    4Southampton4622141082:562680
    5Middlesbrough4622141072:472580
    6Hull4621101570:66473
    7Wrexham4619141369:65471
    8Derby462091767:59869
    9Norwich461981963:56765
    10Birmingham4617131657:56164
    11Swansea4618101857:59-264
    12Bristol City4617111859:59062
    13Sheffield Utd461862266:66060
    14Preston4615151655:62-760
    15QPR4616102061:73-1258
    16Watford4614151753:65-1257
    17Stoke4615102151:56-555
    18Portsmouth4614131949:64-1555
    19Charlton4613141944:58-1453
    20Blackburn4613132042:56-1452
    21West Brom4613141948:58-1051
    22Oxford Utd4611142145:59-1447
    23Leicester4612161858:68-1046
    24Sheffield Wed462123229:89-600

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

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