Result
1:0
28/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 24
- Referee: Melo F. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 23 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', Mateus Sarara 🟨,
- 49', 1 - 0, Michel D. ⚽,
- 60', Heitor ↓, Welinton Junior ↑,
- 64', Gomes B. ↓, Kouassi E. ↑,
- 64', van der Gaag J. ↓, Jair da Silva ↑,
- 71', Maga 🟨,
- 71', Lobato S. ↓, Mamede ↑,
- 71', Joao Reis ↓, Thauan Lara ↑,
- 78', Fernandez P. 🟨,
- 79', Edney ↓, Canario F. ↑,
- 79', Neves S. ↓, Jarleysom ↑,
- 80', Munoz J. ↓, Sylla H. ↑,
- 80', Pires M. ↓, Martins D. ↑,
- 89', Fernandez P. ↓, Lucho Vega ↑,
Chances of winning
Leiria
49.8% | Draw
28.2% | Portimonense
22% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Leiria - Portimonense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.87) |
3.27 ↓
(3.34) |
4.22 ↑
(4) |
7.7%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Leiria - Portimonense?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leiria (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Portimonense (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Leiria (votes: 1 - 50%). Portimonense (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).
- Leiria has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Portimonense is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Leiria is a strong favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leiria won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Leiria won against Portimonense?
Leiria has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portimonense won against Leiria?
Portimonense has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leiria - Portimonense were as follows:
04.10.2025
Portimonense
-
Leiria
1:1
26.01.2025
Leiria
-
Portimonense
1:0
17.08.2024
Portimonense
-
Leiria
0:3
Latest results of Portimonense
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 53:33 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 4 | Leiria | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 45:36 | 9 | 46 |
| 5 | Vizela | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 37:34 | 3 | 44 |
| 6 | Benfica B | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 41 |
| 7 | Sporting CP B | 29 | 13 | 2 | 14 | 41:30 | 11 | 41 |
| 8 | FC Porto B | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 41 |
| 9 | Feirense | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 41 |
| 10 | Chaves | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 31:29 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | Lusitania FC | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 38 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 35:50 | -15 | 38 |
| 13 | Penafiel | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 28:30 | -2 | 35 |
| 14 | Felgueiras | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 34 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 31:42 | -11 | 30 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
