Result
1:1
09/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, McLaggon K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', 1 - 1, Griffiths D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Newport City
38.7% | Draw
27.2% | Caerau Ely
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Caerau Ely has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport City than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Newport City - Caerau Ely Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↓
(2.49) |
3.32 ↓
(3.65) |
2.65 ↑
(2.49) |
10.6%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Newport City - Caerau Ely?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Caerau (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Caerau (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 4).
- Recent performances by Newport City have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Caerau is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Newport City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Newport City has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Newport City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2.7:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Newport City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Newport City won against Caerau Ely?
Newport City has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caerau Ely won against Newport City?
Caerau Ely has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newport City - Caerau Ely were as follows:
21.10.2025
Caerau Ely
-
Newport City
4:3
20.12.2024
Newport City
-
Caerau Ely
3:1
16.08.2024
Caerau Ely
-
Newport City
1:2
Latest results of Newport City
Latest results of Caerau Ely
Welsh Cymru South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cambrian United ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 68:18 | 50 | 66 |
| 2 | Trefelin ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 61:15 | 46 | 66 |
| 3 | Caerau Ely | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60:33 | 27 | 50 |
| 4 | Ammanford | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 38:24 | 14 | 50 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 37:33 | 4 | 42 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Llantwit Major | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 40:38 | 2 | 36 |
| 8 | Treowen | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 46:50 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Newport City | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 35:39 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Cardiff Draconians | 25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 36:39 | -3 | 32 |
| 11 | Pontypridd | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 42:46 | -4 | 29 |
| 12 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 38:55 | -17 | 26 |
| 13 | Baglan Dragons | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25:42 | -17 | 23 |
| 14 | Ynyshir Albions | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24:48 | -24 | 21 |
| 15 | Afan Lido | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 25:52 | -27 | 21 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic ✔ | 24 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 18:61 | -43 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Cambrian United is Qualified for Cymru Premier
Trefelin is Qualified for Cymru Premier
Cwmbran Celtic is Relegated to
