Result
2:1
26/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Yi League - Promotion Group - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (372/476) | 68% (225/333) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.94 | 0.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (372/476) | 68% (225/333) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (32/67) | 27% (19/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (96/152) | 48% (44/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (8/8) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.77 | 3.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.23 | 1.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 32', 0 - 1, Pei Guoguang ⚽, Chen Weijing (A),
- 45+5', Fei Ernanduo (Pen),
- 45+5', 1 - 1, Fei Ernanduo ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Dai Yuanji ↓, Luo Dongping ↑,
- 46', Zhang Huajun ↓, Ji Tianle ↑,
- 46', Wang H. ↓, Cen Liyi ↑,
- 62', Ji X. ↓, Chen D. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 1, Cen Liyi ⚽, Yuan X. (A),
- 77', Wang Bowen ↓, Xu Yuese ↑,
- 77', Pei Guoguang ↓, Zhou Xianfeng ↑,
- 77', Yan Ge ↓, Tan Jingbo ↑,
- 84', Ren K. ↓, Yao Zixuan ↑,
- 90+7', Cen Liyi 🟨,
Chances of winning
Guangxi Hengchen
53.8% | Draw
25.8% | Nantong Haimen Codion
20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guangxi Hengchen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Nantong Haimen Codion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Hengchen than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangxi Hengchen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantong Haimen Codion than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Guangxi Hengchen - Nantong Haimen Codion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.58) |
3.57 ↓
(3.63) |
4.53 ↓
(4.76) |
8.3%
(11.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Guangxi Hengchen - Nantong Haimen Codion?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Guangxi Hengchen (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Guangxi Hengchen will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Guangxi Hengchen will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Guangxi Hengchen (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Guangxi Hengchen is Qualified for Jia League
- Guangxi Hengchen is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Nantong Haimen has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Guangxi Hengchen is the team to beat.
- We predict that Guangxi Hengchen will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Guangxi Hengchen won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 4:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Guangxi Hengchen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Guangxi Hengchen won against Nantong Haimen Codion?
Guangxi Hengchen has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nantong Haimen Codion won against Guangxi Hengchen?
Nantong Haimen Codion has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guangxi Hengchen - Nantong Haimen Codion were as follows:
24.08.2025
Nantong Haimen Codion
-
Guangxi Hengchen
3:4
21.09.2024
Nantong Haimen Codion
-
Guangxi Hengchen
1:3
17.08.2024
Guangxi Hengchen
-
Nantong Haimen Codion
5:0
Latest results of Guangxi Hengchen
Latest results of Nantong Haimen Codion
Chinese Yi League Table
2026North | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shanghai Port B | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16:3 | 13 | 19 |
| 2 | Shandong Taishan B | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Taian Tiankuang | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Dalian Kewei | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 6 | Dalian Yingbo B | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | Nantong Haimen | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Lanzhou Longyuan | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 | Changchun Xidu | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Qingdao Red Lions | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | Shanghai Second | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:17 | -8 | 5 |
| 12 | Beijing Technology | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
South | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guizhou Guiyang | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 15 |
| 2 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Hubei Istar | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Chengdu Rongcheng B | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Xiamen Feilu | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 15:13 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Jiangxi Lushan | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Shenzhen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Hangzhou Linping | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Wenzhou Professional | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Wuhan Three Towns B | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 12 | Guangdong Mingtu | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: )
League Two (Relegation Group: )
