Shenzhen vs Nantong Haimen Codion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/10/2025 at 02:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Shenzhen Youth Football Training Base (Shenzhen).

Yi League - Promotion Group - Round 29
Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.22	1.53
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
9	10
Shots on target
2	5
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
4	2
Passes
79% (327/414)	73% (206/281)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22	1.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.71	2.15
Total shots
9	10
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
5	8
Shots outside the Box
4	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
4	2
Touches in opposition box
16	23
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
1	5
Free Kicks
12	6
Passes
79% (327/414)	73% (206/281)
Long passes
45% (32/71)	56% (42/75)
Passes in final third
56% (65/117)	48% (32/67)
Crosses
35% (7/20)	36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.76	0.72
Throw-ins
25	12
Fouls
6	12
Tackles
86% (6/7)	73% (11/15)
Duels won
24	31
Clearances
15	13
Interceptions
2	4
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
2.15	0.71
Goals prevented
0.15	-0.29

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Wang Zhiyuan ⚽, Shi Z. (A),
33', Zhou Zifan ↓, Ding Jianhua ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Wang Zhiyuan ↓, Jiang W. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Wang Bowen ⚽,
61', Chen W. ↓, Chen Z. ↑,
61', Wang Ziyang ↓, Li L. ↑,
66', Wang Bowen ↓, Xu Yuese ↑,
70', Shi Z. ↓, Hai J. ↑,
70', Huang Z. ↓, Deng Z. ↑,
73', Zheng Lei ↓, Sun Qinan ↑,
73', Dai Yuanji ↓, Tan Jingbo ↑,
83', Ruoke Xiang ↓, Hu H. ↑,
87', Pei Guoguang ↓, Yang Mingtao ↑,
90+6', Sun Qinan 🟨,
90+8', 1 - 2, Cheng Yi ⚽,

Chances of winning

Shenzhen
51.9%

Draw
27.2%

Nantong Haimen Codion
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

28.2%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

27.8%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shenzhen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shenzhen's performance.

Nantong Haimen Codion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nantong Haimen Codion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shenzhen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantong Haimen Codion than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nantong Haimen Codion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shenzhen - Nantong Haimen Codion Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.04)	3.4 ↑ (3.21)	4.41 ↑ (3.28)	8.3% (10.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Shenzhen - Nantong Haimen Codion?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Nantong Haimen (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Shenzhen will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Shenzhen (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Nantong Haimen (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Nantong Haimen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Shenzhen will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Shenzhen won against Nantong Haimen Codion?

Shenzhen has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Nantong Haimen Codion won against Shenzhen?

Nantong Haimen Codion has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shenzhen - Nantong Haimen Codion were as follows:

13.09.2025 Nantong Haimen Codion - Shenzhen 2:0

25.06.2023 Nantong Haimen Codion - Shenzhen 2:1

Latest results of Shenzhen

05.10.2025 Shenzhen - Wuxi Wugou 2:1 ✺

28.09.2025 Changchun Xidu - Shenzhen 0:3 ✺

21.09.2025 Shenzhen - Shandong Taishan B 0:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Nantong Haimen Codion - Shenzhen 2:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Wuxi Wugou - Shenzhen 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Nantong Haimen Codion

04.10.2025 Nantong Haimen Codion - Chengdu Rongcheng B 0:0 ✺

26.09.2025 Guangxi Hengchen - Nantong Haimen Codion 2:1 ✺

21.09.2025 Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Nantong Haimen Codion 1:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Nantong Haimen Codion - Shenzhen 2:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Chengdu Rongcheng B - Nantong Haimen Codion 2:1 ✺

Chinese Yi League Table

2026

North

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shanghai Port B	7	6	1	0	16:3	13	19
2	Shandong Taishan B	7	5	1	1	13:6	7	16
3	Taian Tiankuang	7	3	2	2	8:6	2	11
4	Dalian Kewei	7	2	5	0	3:1	2	11
5	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	7	2	2	3	6:7	-1	8
6	Dalian Yingbo B	7	1	5	1	7:8	-1	8
7	Nantong Haimen	7	1	4	2	8:6	2	7
8	Lanzhou Longyuan	7	1	4	2	3:6	-3	7
9	Changchun Xidu	7	1	4	2	6:10	-4	7
10	Qingdao Red Lions	7	0	5	2	6:8	-2	5
11	Shanghai Second	7	1	2	4	9:17	-8	5
12	Beijing Technology	7	0	3	4	5:12	-7	3

South

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Guizhou Guiyang	7	5	0	2	8:6	2	15
2	Guangzhou Dandelion	7	4	1	2	10:7	3	13
3	Hubei Istar	7	3	3	1	8:6	2	12
4	Chengdu Rongcheng B	7	3	3	1	7:5	2	12
5	Xiamen Feilu	7	2	4	1	15:13	2	10
6	Jiangxi Lushan	7	2	3	2	8:6	2	9
7	Shenzhen	7	2	3	2	10:11	-1	9
8	Hangzhou Linping	7	1	5	1	9:9	0	8
9	Ganzhou Ruishi	7	1	4	2	5:6	-1	7
10	Wenzhou Professional	7	0	4	3	3:6	-3	4
11	Wuhan Three Towns B	7	0	4	3	5:9	-4	4
12	Guangdong Mingtu	7	0	4	3	6:10	-4	4

Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: )
League Two (Relegation Group: )