Result
2:4
31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NIFL Premiership - Round 27
- Referee: Thompson L. (Nir)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 3', Dibaga M. ↓, Tuffey J. ↑,
- 22', 0 - 1, O'Connor T. ⚽,
- 32', 0 - 2, Tuffey J. (Own goal),
- 37', Forsythe J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 38', 1 - 2, Jewitt-White H. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 58', 2 - 2, Bryden F. ⚽,
- 60', O'Connor T. ↓, McKendry C. ↑,
- 60', Millar L. ↓, Lusty M. ↑,
- 60', McEneff J. ↓, Magee B. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 3, Lusty M. ⚽,
- 83', Barr L. ↓, James J. ↑,
- 84', 🟨,
- 85', 🟨,
- 87', 2 - 4, O'Neill P. ⚽,
- 87', Maguire T. ↓, Nixon S. ↑,
- 87', Jewitt-White H. ↓, McCart O. ↑,
- 90+4', 🟨,
- 90+6', O'Neill P. ↓, Sloan D. ↑,
- 90+6', Doherty R. ↓, Simpson J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Crusaders
14.7% | Draw
19.6% | Larne
65.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crusaders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Larne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Crusaders - Larne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.25 ↓
(6.35) |
4.69 ↑
(4.35) |
1.4 ↓
(1.42) |
8.8%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Larne is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 1.
- Crusaders is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Larne is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Crusaders may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Larne is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crusaders won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:29. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crusaders won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.7:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Crusaders won against Larne?
Crusaders has won 3 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Larne won against Crusaders?
Larne has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crusaders - Larne were as follows:
20.12.2025
Crusaders
-
Larne
0:1
16.09.2025
Larne
-
Crusaders
4:0
05.04.2025
Crusaders
-
Larne
2:2
08.02.2025
Larne
-
Crusaders
0:1
07.01.2025
Crusaders
-
Larne
1:3
Latest results of Crusaders
Northern Irish Premiership Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Larne ✔ | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 55:21 | 34 | 67 |
| 2 | Glentoran ✔ | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55:29 | 26 | 62 |
| 3 | Coleraine ✔ | 31 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 60:30 | 30 | 61 |
| 4 | Linfield ✔ | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 53:21 | 32 | 59 |
| 5 | Dungannon | 31 | 15 | 1 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 46 |
| 6 | Cliftonville | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 46:42 | 4 | 43 |
| 7 | Carrick Rangers | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 46:49 | -3 | 40 |
| 8 | Portadown | 31 | 11 | 2 | 18 | 35:54 | -19 | 35 |
| 9 | Bangor FC ✔ | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 37:53 | -16 | 33 |
| 10 | Ballymena ✔ | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 35:47 | -12 | 30 |
| 11 | Crusaders ✔ | 30 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 38:68 | -30 | 25 |
| 12 | Glenavon ✔ | 31 | 7 | 1 | 23 | 30:60 | -30 | 22 |
Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )
NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Larne is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Glentoran is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Coleraine is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Linfield is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Bangor FC is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
Ballymena is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
Crusaders is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
Glenavon is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
