Linfield vs Larne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
11/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NIFL Premiership - Championship Group - Round 36
  • Referee: McNabb I. (Nir)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, BBC Sport

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
213
Shots on target
06
Corner kicks
35
Yellow cards
31
Total shots
213
Shots on target
06
Shots off target
27
Corner kicks
35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Lusty M. ,
  • 12', Whiteside S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', McEneff J. , Doherty R. ,
  • 46', Graham S. , O'Neill P. ,
  • 57', Wade O. 🟨,
  • 59', Yates M. , McDaid R. ,
  • 68', Simpson J. , Randall M. ,
  • 70', Ross F. 🟨,
  • 73', Wade O. , Archer J. ,
  • 74', Ryan A. , McKendry C. ,
  • 75', 0 - 2, Ridley M. ,
  • 78', McKendry C. 🟨,
  • 79', Graham J. , McKee C. ,
  • 79', Ross F. , Allen C. ,
  • 84', Lusty M. , O'Connor T. ,

Chances of winning


Linfield
43.7%
Draw
27.5%
Larne
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 28.6% 31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2% 29% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Linfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linfield than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Linfield - Larne Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (2.3)
    3.35
    (3.2)
    3.2
    (2.88)
    8.6%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Linfield - Larne?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Larne (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Larne (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Linfield won 1.
    • Linfield is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Larne has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Linfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Linfield has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Linfield won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Linfield won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Linfield - Larne were as follows:
    24.02.2026 Larne - Linfield 1:1
    16.01.2026 Linfield - Larne 0:0
    05.12.2025 Larne - Linfield 0:0
    18.04.2025 Larne - Linfield 2:1
    11.02.2025 Linfield - Larne 1:0
    Latest results of Linfield
    28.03.2026 Glentoran - Linfield 1:1
    20.03.2026 Carrick Rangers - Linfield 2:0
    15.03.2026 Glentoran - Linfield 0:1
    10.03.2026 Linfield - Portadown 3:1
    Latest results of Larne
    07.04.2026 Larne - Coleraine 1:4
    04.04.2026 Coleraine - Larne 2:1
    28.03.2026 Larne - Cliftonville 2:0
    20.03.2026 Glenavon - Larne 0:3
    13.03.2026 Larne - Dungannon Swifts 2:1
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1AnnaghCrusaders2 : 3