Result
0:2
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 34
- Referee: Rock D. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 2.10 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (303/419) | 68% (242/354) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 2.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.04 | 2.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (303/419) | 68% (242/354) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (38/89) | 25% (20/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (48/91) | 50% (71/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.63 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', Knoyle K. 🟨,
- 38', Varfolomeev I. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 1, Street R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Knoyle K. ↓, Hewitt E. ↑,
- 46', Moriah-Welsh N. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
- 65', Evans W. ↓, Roberts T. ↑,
- 71', Moylan J. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
- 71', House B. ↓, One R. ↑,
- 71', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Jefferies D. ↑,
- 77', Darikwa T. 🟨,
- 78', Varfolomeev I. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
- 79', Lewis A. ↓, Abbott G. ↑,
- 82', Bradley S. 🟨,
- 86', Street R. ↓, Lloyd A. ↑,
- 87', McLaughlin S. ↓, Adeboyejo V. ↑,
- 90+5', 0 - 2, Bayliss T. ⚽, Jefferies D. (A),
- 90+6', Reed L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mansfield Town
26.4% | Draw
27.4% | Lincoln City
46.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Mansfield Town - Lincoln City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.52 ↑
(3.1) |
3.44 ↑
(3.32) |
2.02 ↓
(2.15) |
7%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mansfield Town - Lincoln City?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Lincoln will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 0.
- Mansfield has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lincoln is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Lincoln may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Lincoln is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Mansfield: Bowery J.
(Inactive)
Cargill B.
(Inactive)
Maris G.
(Inactive)
Sweeney R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Lincoln: Collins J.
(Knee Injury)
Thorn O.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Mansfield: Abbott G.
(Inactive)
Roberts T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Lincoln: Honohan J.
(Injury)
Jackson A.
(Surgery)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mansfield won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Mansfield Town won against Lincoln City?
Mansfield Town has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Mansfield Town?
Lincoln City has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mansfield Town - Lincoln City were as follows:
30.08.2025
Lincoln City
-
Mansfield Town
1:1
18.02.2025
Mansfield Town
-
Lincoln City
0:3
24.08.2024
Lincoln City
-
Mansfield Town
4:1
Latest results of Mansfield Town
Latest results of Lincoln City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 68:36 | 32 | 72 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 32 | 71 |
| 3 | Bolton | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 50:34 | 16 | 61 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47:43 | 4 | 56 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 55:46 | 9 | 52 |
| 7 | Reading | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 50:44 | 6 | 51 |
| 8 | Stevenage | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 51 |
| 9 | Wycombe | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49:36 | 13 | 50 |
| 10 | Luton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:41 | 2 | 47 |
| 11 | Peterborough | 35 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 50:49 | 1 | 46 |
| 12 | Plymouth | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 53:53 | 0 | 44 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | Exeter | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 38:39 | -1 | 41 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39:37 | 2 | 40 |
| 17 | Burton | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:49 | -11 | 39 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Wigan | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 37 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | -14 | 37 |
| 21 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 36 |
| 22 | Northampton | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31:47 | -16 | 35 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 34 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26:44 | -18 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
