Burnley vs Mansfield Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FA Cup - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Ward G. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, Supersport Action
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
cameroonCameroonCRTV Sports
chinaChinaMigu
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports Prime
hungaryHungaryTV2 Play Premium
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia, Discovery+
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaSKY NET Sports 2
mauritiusMauritiusMBC 11
mexicoMexicoHBO Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Action
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamFPT Play

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.820.89
Ball possession
64%36%
Total shots
228
Shots on target
43
Big chances
51
Corner kicks
91
Passes
84% (464/551)71% (211/297)
Yellow cards
42
Expected goals (xG)
3.820.89
xG on target (xGOT)
1.501.38
Total shots
228
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
83
Blocked shots
102
Shots inside the box
174
Shots outside the box
54
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
51
Corner kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
5013
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
40
Free kicks
1314
Passes
84% (464/551)71% (211/297)
Long passes
45% (24/53)41% (27/66)
Passes in final third
75% (117/156)55% (45/82)
Crosses
11% (3/28)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.970.47
Throw ins
2310
Fouls
1413
Tackles
36% (5/14)44% (4/9)
Duels won
4544
Clearances
2136
Interceptions
1025
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
1.381.50
Goals prevented
-0.620.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Laurent J. , Foster L. (A),
  • 37', Ekdal H. 🟨,
  • 40', Barnes A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 53', 1 - 1, Oates R. , Knoyle K. (A),
  • 56', Laurent J. 🟨,
  • 58', Akins L. 🟨,
  • 59', Evans W. 🟨,
  • 60', Russell J. , Hendry R. ,
  • 66', Bruun Larsen J. , Mejbri H. ,
  • 66', Tchaouna L. , Edwards M. ,
  • 78', Florentino 🟨,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Reed L. ,
  • 81', Barnes A. , Ugochukwu L. ,
  • 81', Florentino , Flemming Z. ,
  • 83', Knoyle K. , Hewitt E. ,
  • 84', Oates R. , Bolton L. ,
  • 84', Evans W. , Adeboyejo V. ,
  • 90+1', Ward-Prowse J. , Lucas Pires ,

Chances of winning


Burnley
69.5%
Draw
19.8%
Mansfield Town
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.2% 20.9% 13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8% 22.7% 12.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Burnley - Mansfield Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.43)
    4.89
    (4.46)
    9.22
    (6.7)
    4%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Burnley - Mansfield Town?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 12 - 80%). Mansfield will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 59.8%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Burnley (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Mansfield (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Mansfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Burnley is the obvious favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Burnley
    11.02.2026 Crystal Palace - Burnley 2:3
    07.02.2026 Burnley - West Ham United 0:2
    02.02.2026 Sunderland - Burnley 3:0
    17.01.2026 Liverpool - Burnley 1:1
    Latest results of Mansfield Town
    Draw
    Main

    1/128-finals
    1WrexhamBye
    4ByeNottingham
    5IpswichBye
    7BlackpoolScunthorpe1 : 0
    8ReadingCarlisle2 : 3
    9HullBye
    12ByeBlackburn
    13CharltonBye
    16ByeChelsea
    17Port ValeMaldon & Tiptree5 : 1
    18BromleyBristol Rovers1 : 2
    19FleetwoodBarnet2 : 1
    20LutonForest Green4 : 3
    21Bristol CityBye
    24ByeWatford
    25ColchesterMK Dons2 : 3
    26OldhamNorthampton3 : 1
    28ByeOxford Utd
    29EvertonBye
    32ByeSunderland
    33Boreham WoodCrawley3 : 0
    34NewportGillingham3 : 2
    35Brackley TownNotts Co3 : 2
    36BurtonSt. Albans6 : 0
    37West HamBye
    40ByeQPR
    41SloughAltrincham2 : 1
    42MacclesfieldAFC Totton6 : 3
    44ByeCrystal Palace
    45Sheffield WedBye
    48ByeBrentford
    49TranmereStockport County1 : 3
    50Cambridge UtdChester3 : 0
    52ByeBirmingham
    53DerbyBye
    56ByeLeeds
    57NorwichBye
    59AFC WimbledonGateshead0 : 2
    60EastleighWalsall0 : 3
    61SwanseaBye
    64ByeWest Brom
    65TottenhamBye
    68ByeAston Villa
    69NewcastleBye
    72ByeBournemouth
    73Manchester CityBye
    75FC HalifaxExeter0 : 2
    76WycombePlymouth2 : 0
    77SalfordLincoln2 : 1
    78TamworthLeyton Orient0 : 1
    79RotherhamSwindon1 : 2
    80BoltonHuddersfield2 : 1
    81GrimsbyEbbsfleet3 : 1
    82WealdstoneSouthend1 : 0
    83ChelmsfordBraintree4 : 1
    84Weston-super-MareAldershot2 : 1
    85WolvesBye
    87SuttonAFC Telford2 : 1
    88South ShieldsShrewsbury1 : 3
    89LiverpoolBye
    91PeterboroughCardiff1 : 0
    92BarnsleyYork City3 : 2
    93Manchester UtdBye
    96ByeBrighton
    97StokeBye
    100ByeCoventry
    101FulhamBye
    104ByeMiddlesbrough
    105StevenageChesterfield0 : 1
    106CreweDoncaster1 : 2
    108ByeSouthampton
    109CheltenhamBradford City1 : 0
    110BuxtonChatham2 : 1
    112ByeLeicester
    113BurnleyBye
    116ByeMillwall
    117Sheffield UtdBye
    119GainsboroughAccrington1 : 2
    120MansfieldHarrogate3 : 2
    121PortsmouthBye
    124ByeArsenal
    125PrestonBye
    127WiganHemel Hempstead2 : 1
    128SpennymoorBarrow0 : 2

    1/64-finals
    1WrexhamBye
    2ByeNottingham
    3IpswichBye
    4BlackpoolCarlisle4 : 1
    5HullBye
    6ByeBlackburn
    7CharltonBye
    8ByeChelsea
    9Port ValeBristol Rovers1 : 0
    10FleetwoodLuton3 : 2
    11Bristol CityBye
    12ByeWatford
    13MK DonsOldham3 : 1
    14ByeOxford Utd
    15EvertonBye
    16ByeSunderland
    17Boreham WoodNewport3 : 0
    18Brackley TownBurton1 : 3
    19West HamBye
    20ByeQPR
    21SloughMacclesfield1 : 3
    22ByeCrystal Palace
    23Sheffield WedBye
    24ByeBrentford
    25Stockport CountyCambridge Utd0 : 1
    26ByeBirmingham
    27DerbyBye
    28ByeLeeds
    29NorwichBye
    30GatesheadWalsall0 : 2
    31SwanseaBye
    32ByeWest Brom
    33TottenhamBye
    34ByeAston Villa
    35NewcastleBye
    36ByeBournemouth
    37Manchester CityBye
    38ExeterWycombe4 : 0
    39SalfordLeyton Orient4 : 0
    40SwindonBolton4 : 0
    41GrimsbyWealdstone4 : 0
    42ChelmsfordWeston-super-Mare0 : 2
    43WolvesBye
    44SuttonShrewsbury1 : 2
    45LiverpoolBye
    46PeterboroughBarnsley0 : 1
    47Manchester UtdBye
    48ByeBrighton
    49StokeBye
    50ByeCoventry
    51FulhamBye
    52ByeMiddlesbrough
    53ChesterfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    54ByeSouthampton
    55CheltenhamBuxton6 : 2
    56ByeLeicester
    57BurnleyBye
    58ByeMillwall
    59Sheffield UtdBye
    60AccringtonMansfield2 : 3
    61PortsmouthBye
    62ByeArsenal
    63PrestonBye
    64WiganBarrow3 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1WrexhamNottingham4 : 3
    2IpswichBlackpool2 : 1
    3HullBlackburn1 : 0
    4CharltonChelsea1 : 5
    5Port ValeFleetwood1 : 0
    6Bristol CityWatford5 : 1
    7MK DonsOxford Utd1 : 2
    8EvertonSunderland1 : 2
    9Boreham WoodBurton0 : 5
    10West HamQPR2 : 1
    11MacclesfieldCrystal Palace2 : 1
    12Sheffield WedBrentford0 : 2
    13Cambridge UtdBirmingham2 : 3
    14DerbyLeeds1 : 3
    15NorwichWalsall5 : 1
    16SwanseaWest Brom2 : 3
    17TottenhamAston Villa1 : 2
    18NewcastleBournemouth4 : 3
    19Manchester CityExeter10 : 1
    20SalfordSwindon3 : 2
    21GrimsbyWeston-super-Mare3 : 2
    22WolvesShrewsbury6 : 1
    23LiverpoolBarnsley4 : 1
    24Manchester UtdBrighton1 : 2
    25StokeCoventry1 : 0
    26FulhamMiddlesbrough3 : 1
    27DoncasterSouthampton2 : 3
    28CheltenhamLeicester0 : 2
    29BurnleyMillwall5 : 1
    30Sheffield UtdMansfield3 : 4
    31PortsmouthArsenal1 : 4
    32PrestonWigan0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1WrexhamIpswich1 : 0
    2HullChelsea0 : 4
    3Port ValeBristol City1 : 0
    4Oxford UtdSunderland0 : 1
    5BurtonWest Ham0 : 1
    6MacclesfieldBrentford0 : 1
    7BirminghamLeeds1 : 2
    8NorwichWest Brom3 : 1
    9Aston VillaNewcastle1 : 3
    10Manchester CitySalford2 : 0
    11GrimsbyWolves0 : 1
    12LiverpoolBrighton3 : 0
    13StokeFulham1 : 2
    14SouthamptonLeicester2 : 1
    15BurnleyMansfield1 : 2
    16ArsenalWigan4 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1WrexhamChelsea2 : 4
    2Port ValeSunderland1 : 0
    3West HamBrentford3 : 2
    4LeedsNorwich3 : 0
    5NewcastleManchester City1 : 3
    6WolvesLiverpool1 : 3
    7FulhamSouthampton0 : 1
    8MansfieldArsenal1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1ChelseaPort Vale7 : 0
    2West HamLeeds2 : 3
    3Manchester CityLiverpool4 : 0
    4SouthamptonArsenal2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1ChelseaLeeds
    2Manchester CitySouthampton